
Did COVID-19 cause the spike in murder or the George Floyd Riots? (Contra Sam Seder)
4 videos
Updated 3 months ago
I hate to create another playlist, but I think this needs to be separated. Did the massive spike in murder occur because of COVID-19 as some uneducated groomers say or was it the George Floyd riots & aftermath -- orchestrated by George Soros & his willing accomplices in Antifa, Black Lives Matter & the Democrat Party.
This will give you the facts sans beer cans & crayons. I do details, not talking points that insult the intelligence of people who have an IQ above room temperature.
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Sam Seder is fake news (Crime is down? Crime up because of COVID?)
UTubekookdetectorSam Seder is fake news, says crime is down & crime went up because of COVID. Neither are true, it's a lie https://rumble.com/v5l97oe-fbi-revises-crime-stats-says-crime-is-rising-sam-seder-says-crime-is-down.html Recently, the bi-polar divorcee Sam Seder #samseder #majorityreport suggested that “crime is down”, {X} a talking point that was repeated by a lot of functionally-retarded mouth breathers. That’s true if you cherry pick one year & it’s bad logic, as I exposed here https://rumble.com/v5hs2eb-lyin-brian-tyler-cohen-joe-biden-and-that-lowest-crime-ever-b.s..html A guy who misses 50% of his free throws could go 10-for-10 in a game & his average would be going up, but it’s cherry-picking. Looking at long time frames (I looked at murder & then aggravated assault & robbery together), crime being down is not really true. A lie by omission. [NOTE: Most counties have very little or no murder at all, so if “crime is up” or “crime is down”, it’s likely because of crime in areas where crime has been a problem for decades https://rumble.com/playlists/abPz0GAS47A] Reminds me of Brian Tyler Cohen saying America has a red state murder problem, when it actually has a black on black murder problem & a blue county murder problem. A fib by omission. So, I’ve debunked Sam Seder’s fake claim that crime is down, {X} but what about his recycled claim that crime (primarily murder) was up because of COVID-19? For this exercise, I’m going to look at (assuming the data is available & accurate, stay tuned) data from the FBI & some states. We’ll look at the yearly murder rates & since COVID-19 officially started ravaging the country w/ lockdowns in March, we’ll put March & April together versus the rest of the year, since the George Floyd riots started in May. I will refer back to https://rumble.com/v5hs2eb-lyin-brian-tyler-cohen-joe-biden-and-that-lowest-crime-ever-b.s..html regularly. According to the FBI https://archive.is/8xvMV the murder rate was 4.689 from 2009-2019 (178,595 murders & population = 3,808,010,357). If I go to https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend & look at monthly murder counts from January 2009-2019 (download the CSV & if the numbers slightly differ from what I reported in the previous video link, that is NOT my fault) I see 170,967 murders collectively, which is different from https://archive.is/8xvMV so they’ve adjusted the statistics AGAIN! I WAS going to IGNORE January & February, pitting March & April versus the rest of the year but when I downloaded the CSV I saw a massive spike every single DECEMBER & that mucks up my entire endeavor. I checked each YEARLY COUNT w/ the data discovery tool https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/query & they jive with the CSV, but there’s an issue w/ December. I know the monthly counts are not accurate, even if the entire year jives w/ it. The FBI needs to fix this!! [NOTE: My educated guess is the FBI is doing the best it can to get the yearly tally right, at the expense of the monthly tally. They’re just lumping a slew of murders where they cannot determine the correct month in December & calling it good] So, I will adjust what I’m doing & calculate a murder rate for March & April of each year versus the murder rate in May-September for 2000-19 & see how much they typically differ (October is typically the month where murders begin to decline, due to colder weather setting in). Then we’ll compare it to 2020 & later years, giving us an answer as to whether it was COVID or the George Floyd riots that caused murder to spike. Murder typically is much lower in the winter than summer as you probably already know. U.S. Population data 2000 = 282,172,000 * 2001 = 285,082,000 * 2002 = 287,804,000 * 2003 = 290,326,000 * 2004 = 293,046,000 * 2005 = 295,753,000 * 2006 = 298,593,000 * 2007 = 301,580,000 * 2008 = 304,375,000 * 2009 = 307,007,000 * 2010 = 308,745,538 * 2011 = 311,556,874 * 2012 = 313,830,990 * 2013 = 315,993,715 * 2014 = 318,301,008 * 2015 = 320,635,163 * 2016 = 322,941,311 * 2017 = 324,985,539 * 2018 = 326,687,501 * 2019 = 328,239,523 * 2020 = 331,464,948 * 2021 = 332,048,977 * 2022 = 333,271,411 * 2023 = 334,914,895 * Grand Total = 7,473,134,960 https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-counties-total.html https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/2011/compendia/statab/131ed/2012-statab.pdf (use this for pre-2000) * I’ve used enough different documents on the Census Bureau that you will see population data differ, I am sorry for that. I will stick to those above from now on! U.S. Population Data 1986 = 240,133,000 * 1987 = 242,289,000 * 1988 = 244,499,000 * 1989 = 246,819,000 * 1990 = 249,623,000 * 1991 = 252,981,000 * 1992 = 256,514,000 * 1993 = 259,919,000 * 1994 = 263,126,000 * 1995 = 266,278,000 * 1996 = 269,394,000 * 1997 = 272,647,000 * 1998 = 275,854,000 * 1999 = 279,040,000 [NOTE: I think in earlier essays, I used data including armed forces (years prior to 2000), I need to use “Resident Population” instead. Sorry for the error. Use July estimates as well, in non-Census years] 2000 March-April (2,049 murders) murder rate = 0.7261 per 100,000 * 2001 Mar/Apr (2,131 murders) rate = 0.7475 per 100,000 * 2002 Mar/Apr (2,244) = 0.7796 * 2003 Mar/Apr (2,439) = 0.8400 * 2004 Mar/Apr (2,411) = 0.8227 * 2005 Mar/Apr (2,368) = 0.8006 * 2006 Mar/Apr (2,460) = 0.8238 * 2007 Mar/Apr (2,518) = 0.8349 * 2008 Mar/Apr (2,470) = 0.8114 * 2009 Mar/Apr (2,306) = 0.7511 * Mar/Apr 2010 (2,294) = 0.7430 * Mar/Apr 2011 (2,234) = 0.7170 * Mar/Apr 2012 (2,209) = 0.7038 * Mar/Apr 2013 (2,068) = 0.6544 * Mar/Apr 2014 (2,014) = 0.6327 * Mar/Apr 2015 (1,982) = 0.6181 * Mar/Apr 2016 (2,467) = 0.7639 * Mar/Apr 2017 (2,452) = 0.7544 * Mar/Apr 2018 (2,399) = 0.7343 * Mar/Apr 2019 (2,314 murders) = 0.7049 per 100,000 (0.7261, 0.7475, 0.7796, 0.8400, 0.8227, 0.8006, 0.8238, 0.8349, 0.8114, 0.7511, 0.7430, 0.7170, 0.7038, 0.6544, 0.6327, 0.6181, 0.7639, 0.7544, 0.7343, 0.7049) AVERAGE Murder Rate March & April 2000-2019 = 0.74821 & the Population Standard Deviation = 0.0632 [Seven Years in that block of twenty were either above or below the Population Standard Deviation] 2020 March/April (2,735) = 0.8251 per 100,000. That is >One Standard Deviation above the 2000-2019 average. We’ll see later how it stacks up against later years & how the May-September 2000-19 average looks when compared to post-COVID. Remember, the talking points about “crime being down” were a load of B.S. due to cherry-picking & omission. https://rumble.com/v5hs2eb-lyin-brian-tyler-cohen-joe-biden-and-that-lowest-crime-ever-b.s..html March/April 2021 (2,491 murders) = 0.7501 * March/April 2022 (3,376) = 1.012 (was COVID still causing that or not?) Mar/Apr 2023 (3,105 murders) = 0.9271 (was COVID causing that too?) The bipolar divorcee Sam Seder might have a point if I didn’t look at 2021-23, but the surge in the murder rate (2022 & 2023 being >2 Standard Deviations above the 2000-19 average) continued, yet is the moron going to argue that COVID caused that too? Did COVID cause the 2021 average to be near the 2000-2019 average? I think it was just dumb luck that the March/April murder rate spiked a bit in correlation w/ COVID. Let’s look at the May-September 2000-19 average as well & see if we can find a signal there, shall we? 2000 May-September (6,168 murders) = 2.1859 per 100,000 * 2001 May-September (6,369 murders) = 2.2340 per 100,000 * 2002 May-September (6,625) = 2.3019 * 2003 May-September (6,670) = 2.2974 * 2004 May-September (6,644) = * 2005 May-September (6,984) = 2.3614 * 2006 May-September (7,223) = 2.4190 * 2007 May-September (7,278) = 2.4132 * 2008 May-September (6,827) = 2.2429 * 2009 May-September (6,456) = 2.1028 * 2010 May-September (6,213) = 2.0123 * 2011 May-September (6,434) = 2.0651 * 2012 May-September (6,204) = 1.9768 * 2013 May-September (6,049) = 1.9142 * 2014 May-September (5,905) = 1.8551 * 2015 May-September (6,782) = 2.1151 * 2016 May-September (7,360) = 2.2790 * 2017 May-September (6,976) = 2.1465 * 2018 May-September (6,644) = 2.0337 * 2019 May-September (6,633) = 2.0207 (2.1859, 2.2340, 2.3019, 2.2974, 2.2672, 2.3614, 2.4190, 2.4132, 2.2429, 2.1028, 2.0123, 2.0651, 1.9768, 1.9142, 1.8551, 2.1151, 2.2790, 2.1465, 2.0337, 2.0207) AVERAGE Murder Rate May-September 2000-2019 = 2.16221 per 100,000 & the Population Standard Deviation = 0.1594 (3 years were on SD Below & 3 were one SD Above the average) [NOTE: The George Floyd Riots started in May of 2020. This is where BLM & the Democrat Party fomented violence in an effort to intimidate America into doing their bidding. “Do what we want, or we burn the town down.”] May-September 2020 (9,082 murders!!) = 2.7399 murders per 100,000 (That’s almost 4 Standard Deviations above the May-Sept 2000-2019 average. That’s a much bigger signal than the Mar/Apr comparison above) May-September 2021 (7,771) = 2.3403 (>1 SD above the 2000-19 average, did COVID cause it?) May-September 2022 (9,439) = 2.8322 (>4 Standard Deviations above the 2000-19 average, did COVID cause it?) May-September 2023 (8,321) = 2.4845 (>2 Standard Deviations above the 200-2019 average). Did COVID cause all those massive spikes in murder, which were much more pronounced if we begin in May (George Floyd Riots) instead of March (COVID plandemic insanity)? No, COVID-19 did not, it was the BLM spring/summer of riots, Ferguson Effect, Defund the Police, let’s get some for George Floyd. In conclusion, Sam Seder’s regurgitated talking point that COVID caused the spike in murder (which, from 2021-23, is still much higher than the 2009-19 average or 2017-2020 average) is fallacious, it’s B.S. If you listen to Sam Seder long enough, this becomes a common theme. Now for some data from years ago, covering the Defund The Police, Ferguson Effect. https://web.archive.org/web/20230801020040/https://professor_enigma.webs.com/covid-increase-homicides [BEGIN QUOTE] https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/when-police-pull-back-violent-crime-rises-data-shows-4332011 The drastic decline in proactive policing likely contributed to the nationwide spike in violent crime over the past two years, data show. The Epoch Times reviewed data for police stops—a classic proactive policing tactic—and violent crime for five cities, showing that, in many instances, when police stops dropped, violent crime rose and vice versa. In Minneapolis, data show that the number of officer-initiated stops dropped by 80 percent in June 2020, right after the George Floyd protests started. During that time, violent crime rose to a historic high. The same pattern was observed in four other cities that were examined: Seattle, Chicago, Los Angeles, and Philadelphia. Although violent crime typically rises in the summer, the drastic surge in 2020 was out of the ordinary for many locations. In Minneapolis between 2017 and 2019, the high points during the summer barely reached 400. Yet, in the summer of 2020, the high point jumped to almost 600. The Epoch Times follows the FBI definition of violent crime, which includes four major categories: murder, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault. Several reasons were said to be behind the historic surge in violent crime, such as COVID-19 pandemic restrictions, firearm purchases, rising unemployment, and de-policing. University of Utah professor Paul Cassell examined those reasons and found de-policing to be the most plausible explanation, particularly for the homicide surge. Timewise, March 2020 was the month when pandemic restrictions started, firearm purchases peaked, and unemployment surged, Cassell said. Yet violent crime only started to jump significantly in June 2020, the very month that proactive policing dropped across cities, according to the data. Proactive policing can effectively reduce crime in the short term, especially in high-crime areas, according to a consensus study report by the National Academy of Sciences. The academy convened a panel of leading scholars to review decades of research on proactive policing and issued the report in 2017. For example, during police stops, officers might search a suspicious person (or the car) and find an illegal gun, thus preventing a gun-related crime. Or the stop might lead to the discovery of a warrant, and the suspect is arrested on the spot. Cassell called the phenomenon the “Minneapolis Effect,” where the death of George Floyd in Minneapolis triggered nationwide protests against police, which led to a great decline of proactive policing and a historic surge in homicide and shootings in 2020. He compared it to the “Ferguson Effect,” which is a theory used by some experts to explain a similar crime surge and unrest following the fatal police shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, in 2014. And: https://www.theepochtimes.com/violent-crime-surged-in-these-cities-after-mass-black-lives-matter-anti-police-protests_3806717.html Violent crime surged in several U.S. cities that saw massive Black Live Matter and anti-police protests in the wake of George Floyd’s death last summer. The upswing of violent crime, including homicides, coincided with the protests, increased anti-police sentiment among Americans and declining morale in police departments, which have since struggled to recruit new officers. The number of murders alone increased by 36.7% in 2020 compared to 2019, according to public information compiled by data analytics reporter Jeff Asher… Violent crime increased 17% in low-income communities and 30% in high-income neighborhoods in Minneapolis, the site of some of the earliest and most violent protests last year, the Star Tribune reported in September. Some neighborhoods experienced as much as 36% more violent crime. Homicides, assaults, shootings and robberies all ticked up, according to the Star Tribune. Overall, murder in the city increased 72.3% in 2020 compared to 2019, according to Asher… New York City also saw a steep increase in violent crime last summer, according to The New York Times. Between May and August, the New York Police Department reported 791 shootings, or 140% more than the same period in 2019, and 180 murders, a 51% increase compared to 2019, the NYT reported. By August and with four months remaining in the year, the city had already surpassed the number of shootings that occurred every year since 2015. Murder increased by 39.2% in 2020 compared to 2019 overall, according to Asher’s database. But, New York City officials approved a $1 billion cut to the city’s police department on June 30 after dozens of protests and riots. Protesters were filmed setting fires, destroying police cruisers and looting businesses in New York City during one of the riots… Chicago reported more than 500 homicides between January 2020 and August 2020, according to WTTW-TV. The number represented a sharp increase compared to 2019, which saw 495 murders through the entire year. “This has been an unprecedented year in policing, as coronavirus, civil unrest and violence have all converged in Chicago and in cities throughout the country,” Chicago Police Superintendent David Brown said, WTTW reported. In the first eight months of 2020, shootings increased 52%, the number of shooting victims increased 56% and total homicides increased 49% compared to the same period in 2019, WTTW reported. Chicago concluded 2020 with a 55% total murder increase compared to 2019, according to Asher’s database. Meanwhile, after a series of riots and demonstrations, the local Chicago branch of Black Lives Matter warned Mayor Lori Lightfoot in August that violent protests would continue unless substantive changes were made, the Chicago Tribune reported. The group downplayed the destruction of businesses “owned by the wealthy.” […] [NOTE: I guess it didn’t matter that a lot of poor, Black Chicagoans shopped at those businesses owned by the wealthy] Lightfoot asked the Chicago city council to cut nearly $60 million from the police budget in October, according to CBS Chicago… In December, Washington, D.C., reached 187 homicides, the highest number of murders in the city since 2005, according to the Washingtonian. Homicides, assault from a dangerous weapon and motor vehicle theft all increased. Murders increased 19.4% overall in 2020 compared to 2019, according to Asher’s database. Former Metropolitan Police Department Chief Peter Newsham blamed the increase in crime to “repeat violent gun offenders being released back into our community,” the Washingtonian reported. Washington D.C. saw dozens of protests throughout the summer last year. In one June protest, tens of thousands gathered to demand greater police accountability, according to the Associated Press. The protest, in which police reported multiple fires and mass looting, required thousands of national guardsmen to help enforce a strict curfew that was ordered by city officials. Last year was Atlanta’s deadliest year in more than two decades, according to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. The city reported 150 murders in 2020, a whopping 58% increase compared to 2019. “It’s ridiculous that now, even during this pandemic, we got more gun violence going on than ever before,” local activist Columbus Ward told the AJC. Atlanta experienced multiple protests throughout the summer last year, many of which led to mass violence, according to U.S. News and World Report. In some cases, protests left burned police cars and looted businesses in their wake. Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms characterized one May 2020 protest as “chaos.” During the demonstration, people were seen looting and setting fires as they called for police reform. “In 2021, we cannot have a repeat of what’s going on this year,” Atlanta City Council President Felicia Moore said, according to the AJC. “And that’s going to mean addressing police accountability, but that’s also going to mean we have to support the police.” In June, Lance Bottoms promised that the city would continue to reallocate funds from police to “social services and community enhancement initiatives,” which she said the city had been doing for years, according to Reporter Newspapers. In conclusion, #blacklivesmatter Black Lives Matter was responsible for the increase in violent crime & homicide in these United States (in certain Democrat-run enclaves). It was not the COVID-19 plandemic lockdowns. [END QUOTE] I have a number of videos https://rumble.com/v169x5s-divorcees-sam-seder-and-old-fart-rants-are-suddenly-concerned-about-dead-pe.html https://rumble.com/v15vk83-divorcees-sam-seder-and-old-fart-rants-are-suddenly-concerned-about-dead-pe.html https://rumble.com/v171ssp-divorcees-sam-seder-and-old-fart-rants-are-suddenly-concerned-about-dead-pe.html chronicling the post-George Floyd Riot decline in arrests in various jurisdictions, due to Defund the Police (cutting their funding, intimidating officers into not doing their jobs, LEO retirements because of the hysteria, Ferguson Effect). As the murder rate spiked (and in some cases, the violent crime rate was flat) the number of arrests plummeted. If there aren’t enough police or detectives to do the job & they’re not around the high-crime areas when those evil acts are committed, it’s less likely to be cleared. This was done on purpose. The FBI has yet AGAIN adjusted their murder figures (we’ll get to Aggravated Assault & Robbery later), I had two previous sets of data here https://rumble.com/v5hs2eb-lyin-brian-tyler-cohen-joe-biden-and-that-lowest-crime-ever-b.s..html (2000-23 only for that exercise) https://archive.is/4xPze https://archive.is/8xvMV & here’s the newest revision, https://archive.is/26Mqm https://archive.is/26Mqm/79160d64cbc1de1e1604336c91ccaad2e53d5a49.jpg https://archive.is/8Z8V7/ded6aec14a178717c5845bc424d96a2e36afceae.jpg featuring 1986-2023 (I understand the FBI has a lot of data to evaluate, but where are these changes from decades ago coming from? Another reason not to trust the “crime is down” troglodytes). We’ll use that to calculate a murder rate prior to & after the Bill Clinton crime bill, which was the main force (along w/ the proliferation of states allowing “constitutional carry” & “permit-less carry” among law-abiding citizens) for crime plummeting, not cellular devices. 1986-1989 murder rate (78,929 murders & 973,740,000 population) = 8.105 per 100,000 * 1990-1994 murder rate (115,327 murders & 1,282,163,000 population) = 8.994 per 100,000 * (Clinton Crime Bill) 1995-1998 murder rate (71,036 murders & 1,084,173,000 population) = 6.552 (For 5 consecutive years after that bill, the nominal number of murders declined) * 1999-2002 murder rate (60,021 murders & 1,134,098,000 population) = 5.292 * 2003-06 murder rate (64,531 murders & 1,177,718,000 population) = 5.479 * 2007-10 murder rate (62,791 murders & 1,221,707,538 population) = 5.139 * 2011-14 murder rate (57,460 murders & 1,259,682,587 population) = 4.561 * (Pre-George Floyd & COVID) 2015-2019 murder rate (83,765 murders & 1,623,489,037 population) = 5.159 * 2020-23 murder rate (80,696 murders & 1,331,700,231 population) = 6.059 per 100,000 Some other key time frames I’ll use for future reference: 2000-2023 murder rate (7,473,134,960 population & 394,904 murders) = 5.284 per 100,000 * 2009-2019 murder rate (3,498,924,162 population & 170,967 murders) = 4.886 * 2021-23 murder rate (1,000,235,283 population & 59,132 murders) = 5.911 [NOTE: I have murder data going back much further here >>> https://rumble.com/v2jcakg-sam-seder-is-brick-dumb-larry-elder-played-my-blm-call.html I also learned that the Census is not consistent in publishing population numbers, so they may differ a bit, I will stick to the sources I currently have. You dig through enough Census data & you will find out they’re not consistent, revisions are made] Now, let us tally the combined Aggravated Assault & Robbery rates (Rape definition has been revised, so I am not going there) for the same years I tallied Murder & see how the Clinton Crime Bill effected those metrics. You can see my previous data (prior to another FBI revision) here https://rumble.com/v5hs2eb-lyin-brian-tyler-cohen-joe-biden-and-that-lowest-crime-ever-b.s..html & here’s the new FBI data on that front. https://archive.is/lNHlB https://archive.is/YZCTY/76b7d56b825978032ecd9036aca9e95a2cc734df.jpg The 2021 data remains an outlier & bogus, I am throwing it out. 1986-89 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (973,740,000 population & 5,463,450 Aggravated Assault & Robbery) = 561 per 100,000 * 1990-94 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (8,487,648 Aggravated Assault/ Robbery & 1,282,163,000 population) = 661 per 100,000 * 1995-1998 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (1,084,173,000 population & 5,750,394 Aggravated Assault/Robbery) = 530 * 1999-2002 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (5,016,235 Aggravated Assault/Robbery & 1,134,098,000 population) = 442 * 2003-06 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (1,177,718,000 population & 4,947,122 Aggravated Assault/Robbery) = 420 * 2007-10 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (1,221,707,538 population & 4,881,886 Aggravated Assault/Robbery) = 400 * 2011-14 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (1,259,682,587 population & 4,291,827 Robbery/Aggravated Assault) = 341 * 2015-19 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (1,623,489,037 population & 5,427,863 Robbery/Aggravated Assault) = 334 * 2020, 2022-23 Aggravated Assault Rate (3,311,617 Robbery/Aggravated Assault & 999,651,254 population) = 331 Some other key time frames I’ll use for future reference: 2000-2020, 2022-23 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (7,141,085,983 population & 26,641,654 Aggravated Assault/Robbery) = 373 per 100,000 * 2009-2019 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate (3,498,924,162 population & 12,052,228 Aggravated Assault/Robbery) = 344 * 2022-23 Aggravated Assault/Robbery rate = (668,186,306 population & 2,191,386 Aggravated Assault/Robbery) = 328 I believe the Clinton Crime Bill, as well as the proliferation of concealed carry laws were the factors driving crime down, not cellular devices (although they probably had a small, net positive effect). I would do a monthly tally of Aggravated Assault/Robbery as I did w/ murder, but considering those crimes have been steadily declining (fewer peaks & valleys than we see w/ murder) for decades & the entire 2021 dataset is garbage, I’m NOT going to tally that. If the FBI corrects this error, I may do it in the future. If there was a signal in there, a spike in Aggravated Assault/Robbery (and don’t forget, many cities saw violent crime stay flat post-George Floyd, but murder was spiking) – that spike would not be because of COVID-19, but the George Floyd riots instead. In conclusion, Sam Seder is a moron who was repeating talking points that were regurgitated from the Media Industrial Complex echo chamber a million times & he did it too. He’s not a trailblazer & he’s not that bright, he just has a lot of free time to enjoy daddy’s trust fund, while sitting on his fat ass regurgitating ridiculous talking points & “reading the news.” Sam Seder lies so much (or he’s a victim of his own ignorance), I wouldn’t believe him if his tongue were notarized. *** Tim Pool says that cellular phones/cell phones contributed to the decline in crime & I tend to agree w/ that in theory, but the proliferation of cellular phones/cellular devices {X} coincides w/ the Bill Clinton era crime bill (Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act of 1994), which was one of the main reasons the murder rate started plummeting. https://www.congress.gov/103/statute/STATUTE-108/STATUTE-108-Pg1796.pdf https://www.congress.gov/bill/103rd-congress/house-bill/3355/text https://www.congress.gov/bill/103rd-congress/house-bill/3355/all-actions {X} Cell phone proliferation data https://www.researchgate.net/publication/250022279_Cellular_Tower_Proliferation_in_the_United_States Thomas A. Wikle’s data indicates that when the Clinton Crime Bill was signed into law, there weren’t even 20,000 cell towers in these United States, but by 2001 it had increased 6-fold, so you can see how the Clinton Crime Bill & cell phone penetration coincide. Today, https://www.statista.com/statistics/521985/telecom-towers-in-the-united-states/ https://wia.org/wireless-infrastructure-by-the-numbers-2022-key-statistics/ https://www.lightreading.com/digital-transformation/us-cell-towers-and-small-cells-by-the-numbers there are 134,000 (or more) cell towers in operation. From Wikle’s essay: “Forecasts in the late 1990s suggested that 100,000 cellular telephone towers would be in place by 2010; by the end of 2001 that count had already been exceeded.” In 1992, there were <10 million Cell Phone Subscribers in these United States (according to Wikle) & by 2000 it had grown to 100 million. This dataset https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/united-states/number-of-subscriber-mobile largely concurs w/ that. The number of cell phone subscribers effectively doubled from 2000 to 2006 & the murder rate had begun falling like a rock in 1995! See https://api.ctia.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/2024_CTIA-Survey-Summary-and-Background.pdf for more data on that front. From 2003 to 2011, it effectively doubled again! https://api.ctia.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/CL_Dec-2023.pdf “Overall U.S. mobile wireless traffic grew at a compound annual rate of approximately 55 percent between 2010 and 2022 and overall U.S. mobile subscribers grew at a compound annual rate of approximately five percent between 2010 and 2022… Since 1996, the number of subscribers has increased by more than 800 percent, substantially exceeding overall population growth. Wireless minutes of use (MOU) increased by more than 4,600 percent. The number of cell sites has increased by more than 700 percent. All while the average revenue per user (ARPU) has declined by 58 percent over this time period (in real terms)… As Table 1 below makes clear, on a variety of objective measures, the mobile wireless industry has evolved significantly compared to when Congress enacted the ’96 Act. For example, by any reasonable measure, output has increased substantially. The number of subscribers has increased by more than 800 percent, substantially exceeding overall population growth (the penetration rate has increased by more than 650 percent). Moreover, the intensity of usage has also increased, with wireless minutes of use (MOU) increasing by more than 4,600 percent. Because mobile data was largely non-existent in 1996, growth rates in data usage are even higher. Increases in output were driven in part by increasing quality and decreasing prices, both of which came about because of substantial investment in networks. This investment led to networks that were both denser and offered greater coverage. For example, the number of active cell sites has increased by more than 700 percent.” More data if you want it https://www.pewresearch.org/internet/fact-sheet/mobile/ The wireless industry was still in its infancy in 1997, the murder rate began declining in 1995 – so while I believe Tim Pool is right, cellular devices did contribute to the decline in crime, it was just a footnote (e.g. Dennis Rader/BTK often cut the phone lines in a home before doing his evil deeds, today he would need a device that knocks out cell signals). The lion’s share of the credit goes to the Bill Clinton Crime Bill (which was not perfect, I don’t think we should throw non-violent cannabis smokers in prison) & states allowing their law-abiding citizens to carry concealed weapons. Now we turn to the https://www.census.gov/library/publications/time-series/statistical_abstracts.html Census Bureau & its Statistical Abstracts Series. https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/1997/compendia/statab/117ed/tables/communic.pdf https://www.census.gov/library/publications/1997/compendia/statab/117ed.html The number of “cell sites” increased from 4,169 in 1989 to 30,045 in 1996. That is a massive increase, but keep in mind that cell penetration still had a very long way to go. In 1989 there 3,509,000 “subscribers” & by 1996 it had grown to 44,043,000 (~16% of the population). While those metrics were increasing massively, the murder rate continued to skyrocket, until 1995. https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/2002/compendia/statab/122ed/tables/infocom.pdf https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2002/compendia/statab/122ed.html By 2001, the number of subscribers was 128,375,000 (~45% of the population, effectively) & cell sites expanded to 127,540. https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2006/compendia/statab/126ed.html https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/2006/compendia/statab/126ed/tables/infocomm.pdf By 2005, the number of subscribers has spiked to 207,896,000 (>70% of the population, assuming no person had multiple subscriptions) & cell sites were now 183,689. You can see the mammoth growth in this industry that was barely a blip in the early 1990s, it is truly amazing. Don’t forget that some pukes in the government saw this as a new way to surveille the population sans their consent. https://www.census.gov/library/publications/2011/compendia/statab/131ed.html https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/2011/compendia/statab/131ed/tables/infocomm.pdf In 2010, subscribers were now 302,859,000 (~98% of the population) & cell sites increased to 253,086. I gave you numerous sources & I like to do that because it cements your evidence a lot better than just cherry-picking one source of information. Even the reduction of lead didn’t have much to do with the decline in crime, it was the Bill Clinton Crime Bill, passed by Congress https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/gasoline/gasoline-and-the-environment-leaded-gasoline.php https://www.epa.gov/archive/epa/aboutepa/epa-takes-final-step-phaseout-leaded-gasoline.html By the time the Clinton Crime Bill was passed, all the people who were adults were already exposed to “high” levels of lead, people who were children in 1973 were not adults yet, so the reduction in lead had little to do w/ it, despite what the ferret-faced clown says163 views 5 comments -
Sam Seder's MORONIC LIES DEBUNKED (Covid caused crime? 2)
UTubekookdetectorDivorcee Sam Seder says COVID-19 caused crime (Debunked PART II) Population Data https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-counties-total.html This video is a follow-up to https://rumble.com/v6r43mu-sam-seder-is-fake-news-crime-is-down-crime-up-because-of-covid.html & I’m going to go further in debunking the creepy, bipolar old man Sam Seder #samseder #majorityreport when he lied & said crime was up because of COVID-19. [NOTE: I also debunked the talking point that crime was down to 50-year lows under Joe Biden https://rumble.com/v5hs2eb-lyin-brian-tyler-cohen-joe-biden-and-that-lowest-crime-ever-b.s..html that was also a steaming pile of dung] Not true old man, not true. See the playlist https://rumble.com/playlists/a4bmS3taTSY as well, it dovetails w/ this. Let’s start w/ Texas & do the same exercise I did before, comparing March & April murder rates for various years versus May-September & see what we can see on the state level (and maybe county, depending on how far down this rabbit hole I want to go. In addition, a state has to have good data going back a bit & by month). [NOTE: George Floyd assumed room temperature on 5/25/20 & the very next day protests were already going full-force, morons who don’t give a dang (and don’t know about) all the black folks getting murdered in Democrat enclaves across the country were blocking streets & engaging in general unrest, hoping to intimidate America into doing what they want. On 5/28/20 the great unwashed set a police precinct in Minneapolis on fire, hoping to burn alive the LEOs inside. They want to take your guns away & get rid of the police so they can murder their political opponents or try to. We will not let that happen. This is why I am including the month of May in the post-George Floyd months. In addition, CHOP/CHAZ was going strong in Seattle (early June). If that happened in Iowa, the Sheriff & State Patrol would clear it out in an hour, or the locals would] [NOTE: This data is interactive, so it may *CHANGE* in the future. Don’t come complaining to me if you run this data 2 years from now & there are a few more or less murders in a given time frame. However, since I am ending the analysis in 2023, it’s doubtful that it will change a lot] https://txucr.nibrs.com/SRSReport/CrimeTrends I would recommend downloading the Excel. Murder & Non-Negligent Homicide only! From 2010-19, Texas had cumulative population of 271,624,556 & 2,057 murders in the * MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL. * That is a cumulative murder rate of 0.757 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (March/April) from 2010-19: 0.755, 0.760, 0.701, 0.653, 0.649, 0.742, 0.849, 0.819, 0.880, 0.744 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.0731) For March/April 2020, TX had 310 murders & with a 29,149,458 population, that’s a murder rate of 1.063 per 100,000. That’s >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. The mentally ill divorcee will probably say again, “A-ha, that proves it, COVID-19 caused the spike in crime.” Not so fast groomer, not so fast. For March/April 2021, TX had a population of 29,570,351 & 315 murders. That’s a murder rate of 1.065 per 100,000. Almost exactly the same as the previous year. Despite the vaccine rollout, COVID-19 was still causing murder to spike (yes, I am being facetious)! >4SD above the 2010-19 average. I thought, “Crime was down?” I guess not! For March/April 2022, TX had a population of 30,113,488 & 328 murders. That’s a murder rate of 1.089 per 100,000. Even higher than either of the previous two years! Despite the vaunted Coof “vaccine” rollout, murder was still surging in TX, March/April. I think the vaccine caused it (again, being facetious)! And again, “crime is down,” right? >4SD above the 2010-19 average. For March/April 2023, TX had a population of 30,727,890 & 304 murders – a rate of 0.989 per 100,000. That’s still >3 Standard Deviations above our 2010-19 baseline. Now, let’s tally May-September 2010-19 murders in TX & compare w/ the following years & see what we find. I’m using May as that’s when the George “Fentanyl” Floyd riots began. From 2010-19, Texas had a cumulative population of 271,624,556 & 5,533 murders in the * MONTHS of MAY through SEPTEMBER. That is a cumulative average murder rate of 2.037 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (May-September) from 2010-19: 2.199, 1.820, 1.913, 2.031, 1.828, 2.049, 2.432, 1.950, 1.991, 2.134 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1754) For May-September 2020 TX had a population of 29,149,458 & 801 murders – a rate of 2.747 per 100,000. That’s >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. How about them apples? For May-September 2021 TX had a population of 29,570,351 & 907 murders – a rate of 3.067 murders per 100,000. That’s just a tad short of 6 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID-19 causing it, right? And again, the “crime is down” B.S. is just that, B.S. For May-September 2022 TX had a population of 30,113,488 & 953 murders – a rate of 3.164 per 100,000. That is >6 standard deviations above the 2010-19 average, must be COVID-19 right? For May-September 2023 TX had a population of 30,727,890 & 827 murders – a rate of 2.691 per 100,000. That’s >3 standard deviations above the 2010-19 average. As you can see, the spikes in murder are much more pronounced in the May-September time frames than March/April. In addition, if COVID-19 caused it (and it’s the same scenario when I examined national data) then we would likely see a drop in 2021 & later, that did not happen nationally or in Texas. Sam Seder could also admit the COVID-19 “vaccines” were a fail, but a sociopath rarely admits an error. The spike in murder back in 2020 coincides much better w/ the riots connected to career criminal George Floyd, who would still be alive had he been straight that day & not strung out on chemicals. Let’s examine a few Texas counties that lean Groomercrat, starting w/ TRAVIS COUNTY: For 2010-19, TRAVIS COUNTY had a population of 11,591,395 & 66 murders * in the MONTHS of March & April. * That’s a murder rate of 0.569 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (March/April) from 2010-19: 0.976, 0.565, 0.547, 0.623, 0.173, 0.593, 0.414, 0.733, 0.721, 0.392 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2077) For March/April 2020 Travis County had a population of 1,290,151 & 9 murders – a murder rate of 0.697 per 100,000. That’s within one Standard Deviation of the 2010-19 March/April average. Tough luck for the divorcee Sam Seder. For March/April 2021 Travis County had a population of 1,309,113 & 17 murders – a murder rate of 1.298 per 100,000. That’s >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average, must be COVID-19 causing that, right ferret face? For March/April 2022 Travis County had a population of 1,332,544 & 14 murders – a murder rate of 1.050 per 100,000. That is >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 Mar/Apr average. Did Covid cause that? Don’t forget, “crime is down”, allegedly. For March/April 2023 Travis County had a population of 1,348,043 & 9 murders – a rate of 0.667 per 100,000. That is within the Mar/Apr 2010-19 average, back to “normal.” This Mar/Apr exercise proves Sam Seder wrong, let’s examine May-September now. For 2010-19, Travis County had a population of 11,591,395 & 178 murders * in the MONTHS MAY-SEPTEMBER. * That’s a murder rate of 1.535 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (May-September) from 2010-19: 1.854, 1.412, 1.185, 1.247, 0.867, 0.678, 2.570, 1.547, 1.684, 1.491 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.5032) For May-September 2020 Travis County had a population of 1,290,151 & 20 murders – a rate of 1.550 per 100,000. That’s also within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 May-Sept average. Travis County is bucking the national trend a bit. For May-September 2021 Travis County had a population of 1,309,113 & 40 murders – a rate of 3.055 per 100,000. That’s >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 May-Sept average. Hey Sam Seder, crime is down? If he says, “it’s down in most places,” I’ll point out that is always the case. Crime has always been concentrated in this country. For May-September 2022 Travis County had a population of 1,332,544 & 33 murders – a rate of 2.476 per 100,000. That’s almost 2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. From May-September 2023 Travis County had a population of 1,348,043 & 24 murders – a rate of 1.780 per 100,000 (within 1SD of the 2010-19 average). Travis County’s data Mar/Apr & May-Sept dovetail pretty good w/ each other but lend no help to the mentally ill Sam Seder in his quest to “prove” COVID-19 caused the spike in crime. Uh, no. Let’s look at DALLAS COUNTY now. For 2010-19, Dallas County had a population of 25,271,000 & 315 murders * in the MONTHS OF MARCH & APRIL * a rate of 1.246 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (March & April) from 2010-19: 1.562, 1.453, 0.895, 1.448, 1.071, 0.860, 1.196, 1.259, 1.483, 1.252 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2335) For March/April 2020 Dallas County had a population of 2,611,995 & 38 murders – a rate of 1.454 per 100,000. Within one Standard Deviation of the 2010-19 average. For March/April 2021 Dallas County had a population of 2,589,162 & 45 murders – a rate of 1.738 per 100,000. >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Did COVID cause that a year later Sam Seder? For March/April 2022 Dallas County had a population of 2,613,712 & 47 murders – a rate of 1.798 per 100,000. >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Did COVID cause that 2 years later Sam Seder? For March/April 2023 Dallas County had a population of 2,636,254 & 62 murders – a rate of 2.351 per 100,000. I guess murder isn’t down in Dallas County, is it? >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Must be the COVID-19 hangover, eh Sam Seder? For 2010-2019, Dallas County had a population of 25,271,000 & 880 murders * in the MONTHS MAY-SEPTEMBER * a rate of 3.482 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (May-September) from 2010-19: 3.631, 3.279, 3.257, 3.541, 2.183, 3.518, 4.283, 3.091, 3.346, 4.629 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.6272) For May-September 2020 Dallas County had a population of 2,611,995 & 135 murders – a rate of 5.168 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. I guess COVID-19 caused that? For May-September 2021 Dallas County had a population of 2,589,162 & 126 murders – a rate of 4.866 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. I guess that retard Sam Seder thinks COVID-19 caused that too? For May-September 2022 Dallas County had a population of 2,613,712 & 128 murders – a rate of 4.897 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2023 Dallas County had a population of 2,636,254 & 125 murders – a rate of 4.741 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. I guess Sam Seder is full of crap, but that’s not a surprise. Let’s examine BEXAR COUNTY now, shall we? For March/April 2010-19 Bexar County had a population of 18,702,417 & 207 murders – a rate of 1.106 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (March/April) from 2010-19: 0.933, 0.968, 1.062, 0.768, 0.645, 0.844, 1.452, 1.686, 1.413, 1.197 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3169) For March/April 2020 Bexar County had a population of 2,009,323 & 24 murders – a rate of 1.194 per 100,000. That’s within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. That lends no help to the mentally ill divorcee. For March/April 2021 Bexar County had a population of 2,031,319 & 25 murders – a rate of 1.230 per 100,000. That’s also within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. For March/April 2022 Bexar County had a population of 2,063,840 & 28 murders – a rate of 1.356 per 100,000. That’s also within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. For March/April 2023 Bexar County had a population of 2,098,189 & 28 murders – a rate of 1.334 per 100,000. That’s also within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. That lends no help to Sam Seder. For May-September 2010-2019 Bexar County had a population of 18,702,417 & 507 murders – a rate of 2.710 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by year (May-September) from 2010-19: 2.274, 2.905, 2.012, 2.525, 2.744, 2.955, 4.253, 2.606, 2.271, 2.495 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.5866) For May-September 2020 Bexar County had a population of 2,009,323 & 64 murders – a rate of 3.185 per 100,000 – within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2021 Bexar County had a population of 2,031,319 & 90 murders – a rate of 4.430 per 100,000 – almost 3 standard deviations above the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2022 Bexar County had a population of 2,063,840 & 146 murders – a rate of 7.074 per 100,000 – >6 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder looks like a dumbass, doesn’t he? For May-September 2023 Bexar County had a population of 2,098,189 & 68 murders – a rate of 3.240 per 100,000 – within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. Let’s do one more Democrat-leaning hellhole in TX, shall we? For March/April HARRIS COUNTY had a cumulative population of 44,577,450 & 540 murders in March & April from 2010-2019 – a rate of 1.211 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by years (March/April) from 2010-19: 1.270, 0.909, 1.219, 1.171, 0.964, 1.316, 1.254, 1.137, 1.581, 1.251 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1772) For March/April 2020 Harris County had a population of 4,731,433 & 91 murders – a rate of 1.923 per 100,000 – >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. For March/April 2021 Harris County had a population of 4,736,633 & 105 murders – a rate of 2.216 per 100,000 – >5 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Was COVID-19 still causing that or was it the hangover from the George Floyd riots? For March/April 2022 Harris County had a population of 4,806,747 & 88 murders – a rate of 1.830 per 100,000 – >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. COVID? Sam Seder is a troglodyte? For March/April 2023 Harris County had a population of 4,903,450 & 64 murders – a rate of 1.305 per 100,000 – within one standard deviation of the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2010-19 Harris County had a cumulative population of 44,577,450 & 1,547 murders – a rate of 3.470 per 100,000. (Here are the murder rates by years (May-September) from 2010-19: 4.031, 2.512, 3.307, 3.399, 3.231, 3.685, 4.368, 2.962, 3.546, 3.606 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.4956) For May-September 2020 Harris County had a population of 4,731,433 & 227 murders – a rate of 4.797 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2021 Harris County had a population of 4,736,633 & 277 murders – a rate of 5.848 per 100.000. That’s >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Again, is COVID-19 causing that or is it BLM agitation? For May-September 2022 Harris County had a population of 4,806,747 & 258 murders – a rate of 5.367 per 100,000. That’s >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. That darn COVID-19 won’t go away, will it Sam Seder? I guess that means the vaccines were a failure too, eh? For May-September 2023 Harris County had a population of 4,903,450 & 225 murders – a rate of 4.588 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Not only is crime not down as Sam Seder parroted, but the spike in crime from 2020 onwards coincides more w/ BLM & Antifa agitation after the George Floyd incident. Let’s go to Pennsylvania now! https://www.ucr.pa.gov/PAUCRSPUBLIC/SRSReport/CrimeTrends From 2010-19 PA had a cumulative population of 127,737,587 & 1,023 murders * in the MONTHS OF MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.800 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) by year, 2010-19: 0.865, 0.666, 0.822, 0.790, 0.641, 0.664, 0.860, 0.922, 0.913, 0.859 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1006) For March/April 2020 PA had a population of 13,002,909 & 133 murders – a rate of 1.022 per 100,000. That is >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. For March/April 2021 PA had a population of 13,015,571 & 159 murders – a rate of 1.221 per 100.000. That is >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average, COVID is still wreaking havoc in PA, right Stan Seder? For March/April 2022 PA had a population of 12,984,990 & 183 murders – a rate of 1.409 per 100,000. That is >6 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Yeah, COVID is still causing that. For March/April 2023 PA had a population of 13,017,721 & 147 murders – a rate of 1.129 per 100,000. That is >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder is a dumbass. From MAY-SEPTEMBER 2010-19 PA had a cumulative population of 127,737,587 & 3,025 murders – a rate of 2.368 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-September) by year, 2010-19: 2.432, 2.165, 2.529, 1.980, 2.173, 2.369, 2.519, 2.471, 2.663, 2.374 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.195) For May-September 2020 PA had a population of 13,002,909 & 417 murders – a rate of 3.206 per 100,000. That’s >4 Standard Deviations above the May-September 2010-19 average. A much more pronounced spike than March & April of the same year. I guess that means Sam Seder was pulling talking points from someone’s butt & parroting it. For May-September 2021 PA had a population of 13,015,571 & 456 murders – a rate of 3.503 per 100,000. That’s >5 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2022 PA had a population of 12,984,990 & 449 murders – a rate of 3.457 per 100,000. That’s also >5 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. For May-September 2023 PA had a population of 13,017,721 & 399 murders – a rate of 3.065 per 100,000. That is >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. PHILADELPHIA COUNTY (March/April) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 15,637,442 & 466 murders – a rate of 2.980 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 3.473, 2.791, 3.737, 3.144, 1.660, 1.782, 3.362, 3.479, 2.841, 3.535 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.6913) Philadelphia County March/April 2020 had a population of 1,603,794 & 62 murders – a rate of 3.865 per 100,000. >1 Standard Deviation above the 2010-19 average. Philadelphia County March/April 2021 had a population of 1,589,918 & 94 murders – a rate of 5.912 per 100,000. >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average & a much more pronounced spike than the year before, must be COVID causing that, right? Philadelphia County March/April 2022 had a population of 1,570,554 & 76 murders – a rate of 4.839 per 100,000. >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Philadelphia County March/April 2023 had a population of 1,563,349 & 67 murders – a rate of 4.285 per 100,000. >1 Standard Deviation above the 2010-19 average. Philadelphia County (May-September, 2010-2019) had a cumulative population of 15,637,442 & 1,349 murders – a rate of 8.626 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-September) 2010-19: 9.895, 8.828, 9.537, 6.673, 7.537, 8.465, 7.613, 8.098, 10.040, 9.595 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.084) Philadelphia County May-September 2020 had a population of 1,603,794 & 221 murders – a rate of 13.779 per 100,000. That’s >4 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average & a much more pronounced spike than March/April of the same year. Sam Seder is a retard. Philadelphia County May-September 2021 had a population of 1,589,918 & 251 murders – a rate of 15.786 per 100,000. That is >6 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Yikes! Philadelphia County May-September 2022 had a population of 1,570,554 & 251 murders – a rate of 15.981 per 100,000. Also >6 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Philadelphia County May-September 2023 had a population of 1,563,349 & 199 murders – a rate of 12.729 per 100,000. That’s >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. This disproves again Sam Seder’s parroted contention that COVID caused the spike in crime (in this case, murder), it correlates better w/ the riots over a drug addict & career criminal George Floyd. ALLEGHENY COUNTY: (March/April) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 12,258,003 & 120 murders – a rate of 0.978 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 0.899, 0.976, 0.731, 1.053, 1.378, 0.895, 1.304, 0.819, 0.903, 0.822 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2003) Allegheny County March/April 2020 population was 1,250,583 & 9 murders – a rate of 0.719 per 100,000. That is >1 Standard Deviation BELOW the 2010-19 average. No help for mentally ill Sam Seder. Allegheny County March/April 2021 population was 1,245,440 & 18 murders – a rate of 1.445 per 100,000. That’s >2 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average, must’ve been a delayed COVID crime wave. Allegheny County March/April 2022 population was 1,233,821 & 30 murders – a rate of 2.431 per 100,000. That’s >7 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average!! Allegheny County March/April 2023 population was 1,230,138 & 21 murders – a rate of 1.707 per 100,000. That’s >3 Standard Deviations above the 2010-19 average. Allegheny County (May-September) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 12,258,003 & 415 murders – a rate of 3.385 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-September) 2010-19: 3.514, 2.523, 3.412, 2.999, 3.487, 3.743, 3.424, 3.852, 3.696, 3.207 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3736) Allegheny County (May-September 2020) population was 1,250,583 & 50 murders – a rate of 3.998 per 100,000. That is >1 Standard Deviation above the 2010-19 average, again correlating better w/ the George Floyd riots than COVID-19. Sam Seder is a dumbass. Allegheny County (May-Sept 2021) population was 1,245,440 & 62 murders – a rate of 4.978 per 100,000. That is >4 Standard Deviations (SD) above the 2010-19 average. Allegheny County (May-Sept 2022) population was 1,233,821 & 59 murders – a rate of 4.781 per 100,000. That’s >3 Standard Deviations (SD) above the 2010-19 average. Allegheny County (May-Sept 2023) population was 1,230,138 & 49 murders – a rate of 3.983 per 100,000. That’s >1 SD above the 2010-19 average. Not only is murder NOT down during the Biden regime, but COVID-19 did not start the crime spree, the George Floyd riots did. [NOTE: Whomever is responsible for the data on this PA page, PLEASE allow me to download an EXCEL file of the data, makes it much easier!] DAUPHIN COUNTY (March/April) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,729,166 & 29 murders – a rate of 1.062 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 2.237, 0.371, 0.740, 2.578, 0.734, 0, 1.094, 1.450, 1.083, 0.359 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.7837) Dauphin County (March/April 2020) had a population of 286,392 & 3 murders – a rate of 1.047 per 100,000. That is within one SD of the 2010-19 average, no help for Sam Seder. Dauphin County (March/April 2021) had a population of 288,286 & 5 murders – a rate of 1.734 per 100,000. That’s also within one SD of the 2010-19 average. Dauphin County (March/April 2022) had a population of 289,049 & 8 murders – a rate of 2.767 per 100.000. That’s >2 SD above the 2010-19 average, must’ve been a delayed COVID-19 reaction. Dauphin County (March/April 2023) had a population of 290,886 & 3 murders – a rate of 1.031 per 100,000 – within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. DAUPIN COUNTY (May-September) 2010-19 had a cumulative population of 2,729,166 & 79 murders – a rate of 2.894 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-September) 2010-19: 2.610, 1.485, 2.592, 2.947, 2.571, 3.295, 2.917, 3.989, 2.889, 3.593 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.6413) Dauphin County (May-Sept) 2020 had a population of 286,392 & 7 murders – a rate of 2.444 per 100,000. Within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. Dauphin County (May-Sept) 2021 had a population of 288,286 & 12 murders – a rate of 4.162 per 100,000 – that’s just shy of 2 SD ABOVE the 2010-19 average. Dauphin County (May-Sept) 2022 had a population of 289,049 & 7 murders – a rate of 2.421 per 100,000. Within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. Dauphin County (May-Sept) 2023 had a population of 290,886 & 9 murders – a rate of 3.093 per 100,000. Within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. [NOTE: I selected Dauphin because Harrisburg is the problem child there & if that county has a bad murder year, it’s usually because of that city] Let’s do one more PA County, Delaware. DELAWARE COUNTY (March/April) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 5,625,979 & 46 murders – a rate of 0.817 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 0.894, 0.536, 0.534, 0.712, 1.244, 0.532, 0.886, 0.354, 1.769, 0.705 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3972) Delaware County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 576,970 & 10 murders – a rate of 1.733 per 100,000. That’s >2 SD above the 2010-19 average. Delaware County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 577,126 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.693 per 100,000. That is within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. Delaware County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 577,040 & 9 murders – a rate of 1.559 per 100,000. That’s >1 SD above the 2010-19 average. Delaware County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 580,538 & 7 murders – a rate of 1.205 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. DELAWARE COUNTY (May-Sept) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 5,625,979 & 169 murders – a rate of 3.003 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 3.577, 1.788, 1.961, 2.671, 3.732, 3.373, 2.838, 4.433, 3.007, 2.646 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.7661) Delaware County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 576,970 & 24 murders – a rate of 4.159 per 100,000. That is >1 SD above the 2010-19 average. Delaware County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 577,126 & 17 murders – a rate of 2.945 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. Delaware County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 577,040 & 17 murders – a rate of 2.946 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. Delaware County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 580,538 & 15 murders – a rate of 2.583 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2010-19 average. Let’s look at the great state of Iowa now, shall we? https://icrime.dps.state.ia.us/CrimeInIowa/Report/CrimeTrends Unfortunately, Iowa’s data only goes back to 2016, but I will have 4 years prior to 2020 to compare data with & that will be good enough. From 2016-19, Iowa had a cumulative population of 12,576,609 & 50 murders in the *MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL*. That’s a rate of 0.397 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2016-19: 0.383, 0.541, 0.285, 0.380 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.0919) Iowa population 2020 (March/April) was 3,190,546 & 15 murders – a rate of 0.470 per 100,000 – that is within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. Iowa population (March/April 2021) was 3,198,613 & 14 murders – a rate of 0.437 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. Iowa population (March/April 2022) was 3,202,820 & 10 murders – a rate of 0.312 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. Iowa population (March/April 2023) was 3,218,414 & 14 murders – a rate of 0.434 per 100,000 – that is within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. No help for the creepy old man Sam Seder on that metric. From 2016-19, Iowa had a cumulative population of 12,576,609 & 118 murders in the *MONTHS of MAY through SEPTEMBER.* That’s a rate of 0.938 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2016-19: 0.734, 1.400, 0.762, 0.855 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2706) Iowa (May-Sept) 2020 population was 3,190,546 & 54 murders – a rate of 1.692 per 100,000 – that’s >2 SD above the 2016-2019 average. That’s bad news for mentally ill Sam Seder. Iowa (May-Sept) 2021 population was 3,198,613 & 28 murders – a rate of 0.875 per 100,000 – that’s within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. Iowa (May-Sept) 2022 population was 3,202,820 & 34 murders – a rate of 1.061 per 100,000 – that is within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. Iowa (May-Sept) 2023 population was 3,218,414 & 26 murders – a rate of 0.807 per 100,000 – that is within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. All that data from Iowa disproves Sam Seder’s parroted contention. Iowa is an important barometer because it is a low murder rate state & proves again that the spike in murder post-George Floyd was mostly in areas that are already problem jurisdictions. Not that some lower murder rate areas didn’t see an increase, but it wasn’t rural western Iowa driving the murder increase, it was places like Chicago & Baltimore. Let’s look at Polk County, Iowa, shall we? POLK COUNTY had a cumulative 2016-19 population of 1,930,758 & 15 murders *in the months of MARCH & APRIL* – a rate of 0.776 per 100,000. (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) for 2016-19: 0.210, 2.081, 0.0, 0.816 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.8104) Polk County 2020 (Mar/Apr) population was 492,402 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.406 per 100,000. That’s within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. March & April of 2021 had NO DATA for Puke County! Sorry! [NOTE: If I cover the entire year of 2021, it says 3 murders, but no murders for March & April. I am curious if there’s really NO DATA at all or it says that because there are no murders! I will retroactively assume there are ZERO murders & adjust my data. If that is wrong, I apologize & I wish the interactive board would give me a ZERO instead of “data not available”] Taking that NOTE into account, Polk County had a population of 497,903 in 2021 & zero murders – a rate of ZERO per 100,000. Obviously, that is within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. In 2022 (Mar/Apr) Polk County had a population of 501,261 & ZERO murders, a rate of ZERO per 100,000 & 1 SD within the 2016-19 average. In 2023 (Mar/Apr) Polk County had a population of 507,487 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.197 per 100,000 – within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. This data lends no help to mentally ill Sam Seder in his quest to prove that COVID-19 is the reason BLM & Antifa burned the town down in 2020. POLK COUNTY (May-Sept) had a cumulative 2016-19 population of 1,930,758 & 37 murders – a rate of 1.916 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) for 2016-19: 2.319, 2.913, 0.617, 1.836 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.8441) Polk County (May-Sept) 2020 had a population of 492,402 & 19 murders – a rate of 3.858 per 100,000 – that is >2 SD above the 2016-19 average. Polk County 2021 (May-Sept) had a population of 497,903 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.602 per 100,000 – that is >1 SD BELOW the 2016-19 average. Polk County 2022 (May-Sept) had a population of 501,261 & 8 murders – a rate of 1.595 per 100,000 – within 1 SD of the 2016-19 average. Polk County 2023 (May-Sept) had a population of 507,487 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.788 per 100,000 – that is >1 SD BELOW the 2016-19 average. Tough luck for the divorcee on that one. BLACK HAWK COUNTY had a cumulative 2016-19 population of 528,266 & 3 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.567 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) for 2016-19: 0.0, 0.0, 1.518, 0.762 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.6296) Black Hawk County had a 2020 (March/April) population of 131,142 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000. Within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. Black Hawk County had a 2021 (March/April) population of 130,587 & ZERO murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000. Within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. Black Hawk County 2022 (March/April) had a population of 130,081 & 2 murders – a rate of 1.537 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2016-19 average. Black Hawk County 2023 (March/April) had a population of 131,179 & ZERO murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. BLACK HAWK COUNTY (May-Sept) 2016-19 had a cumulative population of 528,266 & 8 murders * in the MONTHS MAY-SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.514 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) for 2016-19: 0.751, 2.268, 3.036, 0.0 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.1999) Black Hawk County had a (May-Sept) 2020 population of 131,142 & 5 murders – a rate of 3.812 per 100,000 – >1SD above the 2016-19 average. Black Hawk County had a (May-Sept) 2021 population of 130,587 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.063 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2016-19 average. Black Hawk County had a (May-Sept) 2022 population of 130,081 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.075 per 100,000 – that’s also >1SD above the 2016-19 average. Black Hawk County had a (May-Sept) 2023 population of 131,179 & 2 murders – a rate of 1.524 per 100,000 – within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. LINN COUNTY (March/April) had a 2016-19 population of 899,036 & 3 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – that’s a rate of 0.333 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2016-19: 0.900, 0.0, 0.442, 0.0 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3725) Linn County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 230,303 & 4 murders – a rate of 1.736 per 100,000 – >3SD above the 2016-19 average. Linn County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 229,474 & 3 murders – a rate of 1.307 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2016-19 average. Linn County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 228,947 & 4 murders – a rate of 1.747 per 100,000 – >3SD above the 2016-19 average. Linn County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 229,402 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.435 per 100,000 – within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. LINN COUNTY (May-Sept) had a cumulative 2016-19 population of 899,036 & 10 murders * in the months MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.112 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates 2016-19: 0.450, 1.782, 0.885, 1.323 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.4958) Linn County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 230,303 & 4 murders – a rate of 1.736 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2016-19 average. Linn County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 229,474 & 5 murders – a rate of 2.178 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2016-19 average. Linn County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 228,947 & 4 murders – a rate of 1.747 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2016-19 average. Linn County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 229,402 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.871 per 100,000 – that’s within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. SCOTT COUNTY (March/April) had a 2016-19 population of 690,329 & 3 murders * in the months of MARCH & APRIL – a rate of 0.434 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (2016-19) murder rates: 0.0, 0.579, 0.578, 0.578 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2504) Scott County (March-April) had a 2020 population of 174,681 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.572 per 100,000 – that is within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. Scott County (March-April) had a 2021 population of 174,250 & 3 murders – a rate of 1.721 per 100,000 – that’s >5SD above the 2016-19 average. Must be a delayed COVID crime wave? Scott County (March-April) had a 2022 population of 173,985 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.574 per 100,000 – that is within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. Scott County (March-April) had a 2023 population of 174,589 & 4 murders – a rate of 2.291 per 100,000 – that is >7SD above the 2016-19 average. SCOTT COUNTY (May-Sept) had a 2016-19 population of 690,329 & 18 murders – a rate of 2.607 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2016-19: 2.904, 4.059, 1.736, 1.734 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.964) Scott County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 174,681 & 5 murders – a rate of 2.862 per 100,000 – that is within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. Scott County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 174,250 & 4 murders – a rate of 2.295 per 100,000 – that is within 1SD of the 2016-19 average. Scott County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 173,985 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.574 per 100,000 – that is >2SD BELOW the 2016-19 average. Scott County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 174,589 & 2 murders – a rate of 1.145 per 100,000 – that is >1SD BELOW the 2016-19 average. Let’s look at the Volunteer State now, shall we? https://crimeinsight.tbi.tn.gov/tops https://crimeinsight.tbi.tn.gov/public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=79 TENNESSEE (MARCH/APRIL) had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 65,781,641 & 722 murders * in the MONTHS OF MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.097 per 100,000. (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 0.992, 1.015, 1.115, 0.985, 1.131, 0.879, 1.098, 1.296, 0.959, 1.478 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1682) Tennessee (March/Apr) 2020 population was 6,912,347 & 103 murders – a rate of 1.490 per 100,000 – that’s >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Tennessee (March/Apr) had a 2021 population of 6,965,740 & 94 murders – a rate of 1.349 per 100,000 – that’s >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Tennessee (March/Apr) had a 2022 population of 7,062,217 & 110 murders – a rate of 1.557 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID-19 still rearing its ugly head, eh? Tennessee (March/Apr) had a 2023 population of 7,148,304 & 120 murders – a rate of 1.678 per 100,000 – that is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Something other than COVID is causing this. Tennessee had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 65,781,641 & 1,930 murders * in the MONTHS MAY-SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 2.933 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2010-19: 2.647, 2.750, 2.758, 2.309, 2.476, 2.715, 3.189, 3.577, 3.632, 3.206 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.4283) Tennessee (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 6,912,347 & 314 murders – a rate of 4.542 per 100,000 – that is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Tennessee (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 6,965,740 & 296 murders – a rate of 4.249 per 100,000 – that’s >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Tennessee (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 7,062,217 & 277 murders – a rate of 3.922 per 100,000 – that is >2 SD above the 2010-19 average. Tennessee (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 7,148,304 & 311 murders – a rate of 4.350 per 100,000 – that is that’s >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Let’s see if we can find a better signal in some of TN’s more Democrat & more dangerous areas. SHELBY COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 9,357,731 & 241 murders * in the MONTHS OF MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 2.575 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) totals 2010-19: 1.401, 2.143, 2.236, 2.557, 3.093, 1.920, 3.205, 3.849, 1.495, 3.841 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.8466) Shelby County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 930,015 & 36 murders – a rate of 3.870 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Shelby County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 923,255 & 38 murders – a rate of 4.115 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID, right? Shelby County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 918,382 & 40 murders – a rate of 4.355 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID, right? Shelby County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 913,909 & 68 murders – a rate of 7.440 per 100,000 – that is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. Holy Smokes, COVID just won’t stop, will it? SHELBY COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 9,357,731 & 725 murders * in the months of MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 7.747 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) totals 2010-19: 5.282, 6.108, 6.921, 6.394, 7.04, 7.683, 10.576, 8.233, 10.252, 8.963 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.6665) Shelby County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 930,015 & 148 murders – a rate of 15.913 per 100,000 – that is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder is an idiot Shelby County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 923,255 & 129 murders – a rate of 13.972 per 100,000 – that is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Shelby County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 918,382 & 113 murders – a rate of 12.304 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Shelby County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 913,909 & 150 murders – a rate of 16.413 per 100,000 – that is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. This nukes Sam Seder’s parroted talking point about COVID causing the surge in crime, or at least in this case murder. Let’s keep going. DAVIDSON COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 6,679,174 & 103 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.542 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) totals 2010-19: 2.074, 0.943, 1.386, 1.211, 1.194, 1.323, 1.020, 1.891, 1.593, 2.737 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.5263) Davidson County had a 2020 (March/April) population of 715,884 & 18 murders – a rate of 2.514 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Davidson County had a 2021 (March/April) population of 700,966 & 19 murders – a rate of 2.710 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Davidson County had a 2022 (March/April) population of 711,280 & 21 murders – a rate of 2.952 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID still runnin’ wild? Davidson County had a 2023 (March/April) population of 719,092 & 19 murders – a rate of 2.642 per 100,000 – that is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. DAVIDSON COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 6,679,174 & 344 murders * in the MONTHS of MAY-SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 5.150 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2010-19: 4.467, 4.403, 4.466, 2.726, 2.538, 5.884, 5.686, 8.149, 6.661, 6.194 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.6545) Davidson County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 715,884 & 44 murders – a rate of 6.146 per 100,000 – within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Davidson County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 700,966 & 43 murders – a rate of 6.134 per 100,000 – within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Davidson County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 711,280 & 52 murders – a rate of 7.310 per 100,000 – >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Davidson County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 719,092 & 37 murders – a rate of 5.145 per 100,000 – within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. I’m going to skip HAYWOOD COUNTY, TN as it would be a lot of work for a violent county w/ a small population. Let’s see what data we can get from South Carolina. https://beyond2020.sled.sc.gov/tops/ https://beyond2020.sled.sc.gov/public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=1132 SOUTH CAROLINA had a 2010-19 population of 48,706,453 & 546 murders * in the MONTHS OF MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.121 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) for 2010-19: 0.821, 1.262, 1.335, 0.944, 1.202, 1.287, 1.250, 1.075, 1.121, 0.912 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1684) South Carolina (March/April) had a 2020 population of 5,118,252 & 104 murders – a rate of 2.031 per 100,000 – that is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Trust Funder Sam Seder probably thinks he’s right. SC (March/April) had a 2021 population of 5,194,274 & murders – a rate of 1.482 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. SC (March/April) had a 2022 population of 5,287,935 & 90 murders – a rate of 1.701 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Was COVID still causing that? SC (March/April) had a 2023 population of 5,387,830 & 86 murders – a rate of 1.596 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. SOUTH CAROLINA had a 2010-19 population of 48,706,453 & 1,538 murders * in the MONTHS MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 3.157 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2010-19: 2.291, 2.975, 3.179, 2.497, 2.798, 3.475, 3.166, 3.644, 3.638, 3.767 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.4783) South Carolina (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 5,118,252 & 236 murders – a rate of 4.610 – that’s >3SD above the 2010-19 average. South Carolina had a 2021 population of 5,194,274 & 284 murders – a rate of 5.467 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID-19, right? South Carolina had a 2022 population of 5,287,935 & 288 murders – a rate of 5.446 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID-19, right? South Carolina (May/Sept) had a 2023 population of 5,387,830 & 192 murders – a rate of 3.563 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. RICHLAND COUNTY had a collective 2010-19 population of 4,020,641 & 42 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – which is a rate of 1.044 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 1.040, 1.284, 1.526, 0.504, 1.248, 1.231, 0.488, 1.214, 1.207, 0.721 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3357) Richland County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 416,146 & 6 murders – a rate of 1.441 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Richland County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 417,306 & 9 murders – a rate of 2.156 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Richland County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 421,693 & 12 murders – a rate of 2.845 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. Richland County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 425,236 & 7 murders – a rate of 1.646 per 100,000 – that is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. RICHLAND COUNTY had a collective 2010-19 population of 4,020,641 & 148 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 3.681 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2010-19: 2.860, 3.339, 3.053, 3.276, 3.247, 4.187, 4.400, 3.156, 3.379, 5.772 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.8395) Richland County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 416,146 & 14 murders – a rate of 3.364 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Richland County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 417,306 & 22 murders – a rate of 5.271 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID? Richland County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 421,693 & 18 murders – a rate of 4.268 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Richland County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 425,236 & 27 murders – a rate of 6.349 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID caused that, right? CHARLESTON COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 3,829,494 & 60 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.566 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 0.856, 1.958, 1.645, 1.076, 1.053, 1.541, 2.267, 1.741, 2.215, 1.215 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.4726) Charleston County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 408,530 & 9 murders – a rate of 2.203 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Charleston County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 414,605 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.964 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. Charleston County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 419,952 & 5 murders – a rate of 1.190 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Charleston County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 425,805 & 13 murders – a rate of 3.053 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. CHARLESTON COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 3,829,494 & 196 murders * in the MONTHS MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 5.118 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates: 5.710, 2.798, 3.839, 3.228, 5.266, 6.164, 6.803, 6.467, 4.923, 5.590 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.3024) Charleston County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 408,530 & 28 murders – a rate of 6.853 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Charleston County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 414,605 & 34 murders – a rate of 8.200 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Is COVID causing that? Charleston County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 419,952 & 24 murders – a rate of 5.714 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Charleston County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 425,805 & 22 murders – a rate of 5.166 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. BERKELEY COUNTY (March/April) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,018,771 & 14 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.693 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 0.562, 0.0, 1.054, 0.0, 0.0, 0.492, 1.438, 0.466, 1.356, 1.316 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.5529) Berkeley County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 229,781 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.435 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Berkeley County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 236,852 & 2 murders – a rate of – 0.844 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Berkeley County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 245,249 & 5 murders – a rate of 2.038 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Delayed COVID rage from Democrat voters? Berkeley County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 256,123 & 4 murders – a rate of 1.561 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. BERKELEY COUNTY (May-Sept) had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,018,771 & 45 murders – a rate of 2.229 per 100,000 (Here are the (May-Sept) yearly murder rates 2010-19: 0.562, 2.720, 4.219, 2.576, 4.034, 1.969, 1.438, 1.864, 0.452, 2.632 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.2042) Berkeley County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 229,781 & 11 murders – a rate of 4.787 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. See a trend folks, Geroge Floyd caused the murder spike, not COVID. Berkeley County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 236,852 & 11 murders – a rate of 4.644 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Berkeley County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 245,249 & 8 murders – a rate of 3.261 pr 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Berkeley County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 256,123 & 9 murders – a rate of 3.513 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. SUMTER COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 1,071,761 & 16 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.492 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 0.930, 2.795, 2.782, 2.784, 1.857, 0.0, 0.0, 0.939, 2.819, 0.0 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.1927) Sumter County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 105,557 & 3 murders – a rate of 2.842 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Sumter County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 104,879 & 2 murders – a rate of 1.906 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Sumter County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 104,068 & 2 murders – a rate of 1.921 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Sumter County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 104,410 & 6 murders – a rate of 5.746 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Have you seen that movie before? SUMTER COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 1,071,761 & 39 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 3.638 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder totals 2010-19: 1.861, 6.523, 4.638, 1.856, 2.786, 2.799, 3.735, 1.879, 0.939, 9.370 * Population Standard Deviation = 2.4562) Sumter County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 105,557 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.947 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. Sumter County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 104,879 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.813 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Sumter County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 104,068 & 7 murders – a rate of 6.726 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Sumter County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 104,410 & 8 murders – a rate of 7.662 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID hangover? ORANGEBURG COUNTY had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 894,818 & 18 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 2.011 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 4.324, 3.271, 3.280, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 2.261, 2.281, 0.0, 4.641 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.7826) Orangeburg County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 84,229 & 2 murders – a rate of 2.374 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Orangeburg County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 82,851 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. Orangeburg County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 83,165 & 6 murders – a rate of 7.214 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Orangeburg County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 83,148 & 4 murders – a rate of 4.810 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. ORANGEBURG COUNTY (May-Sept) had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 894,818 & 53 murders * in the MONTHS MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 5.922 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2010-19: 3.243, 1.090, 6.560, 2.205, 8.884, 8.972, 1.130, 7.984, 6.895, 12.764 * Population Standard Deviation = 3.7118) Orangeburg County had a 2020 population of 84,229 & 10 murders – a rate of 11.872 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. This runs contrasts to Sam Seder’s parroted argument. Orangeburg County had a 2021 population of 82,851 & 12 murders – a rate of 14.483 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Orangeburg County had a 2022 population of 83,165 & 17 murders – a rate of 20.441 per 100,000 – which is ALMOST 4SD above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder is an idiot. Orangeburg County had a 2023 population of 83,148 & 5 murders – a rate of 6.013 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. This concludes Part I of this series, moving to Part II80 views 8 comments -
Sam Seder's MORONIC LIES DEBUNKED (Covid caused crime? 3)
UTubekookdetectorDivorcee Sam Seder says COVID-19 caused crime (Debunked PART III) https://nibrs.isp.idaho.gov/CrimeInIdaho/Report/CrimeTrends Idaho is a low crime jurisdiction, but let’s see if we can see a signal there or not. IDAHO (March/April) statewide had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 16,577,889 & 56 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.337 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 0.382, 0.315, 0.501, 0.372, 0.306, 0.302, 0.178, 0.174, 0.342, 0.503 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1059) [NOTE: Remember, “Murder & Non-Negligent Manslaughter” crimes only] Idaho (March/April) had a 2020 population of 1,839,140 & 7 murders – a rate of 0.380 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Idaho (March/April) had a 2021 population of 1,904,848 & 5 murders – a rate of 0.262 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Idaho (March/April) had a 2022 population of 1,944,299 & 5 murders – a rate of 0.257 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Idaho (March/April) had a 2023 population of 1,971,122 & 7 murders – a rate of 0.355 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. No help on that one for the creepy old man who has a bi-polar fit when XY chromosome predators aren’t allowed to hang out in the same locker room w/ preteen girls. IDAHO (May-Sept) statewide had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 16,577,889 & 120 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – which is a rate of 0.723 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates 2010-19: 0.510, 0.947, 0.376, 0.558, 0.797, 0.787, 1.069, 1.047, 0.628, 0.503 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2313) Idaho (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 1,839,140 & 17 murders – a rate of 0.924 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Idaho (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 1,904,848 & 16 murders – a rate of 0.892 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Idaho (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 1,944,299 & 20 murders – a rate of 1.028 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Idaho (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 1,971,122 & 16 murders – a rate of 0.811 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Bipolaroid Stan Seder might say, “Uh duh, Idaho hardly has any murders, it doesn’t count.” Why doesn’t ID have many murders? Because it’s not “diverse” enough (cough) & it has “loose gun laws” according to George Soros & the troglodytes over at Giffords? ID has a very low murder rate & not many Democrat-leaning counties, but let’s take a gander at its largest county & see what we can find. ADA COUNTY had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 4,328,158 & 15 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.346 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 0.509, 0.498, 0.244, 0.240, 0.235, 0.693, 0.224, 0.0, 0.213, 0.622 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.208) Ada County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 494,969 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-2019 average. Ada County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 513,098 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.194 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Ada County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 520,788 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-2019 average. Ada County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 526,690 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.569 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. ADA COUNTY had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 4,328,158 & 14 murders * in the months MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 0.323 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2010-19: 0.509, 0.249, 0.244, 0.0, 0.705, 0.231, 0.674, 0.219, 0.213, 0.207 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2155) Ada County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 494,969 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.606 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Ada County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 513,098 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.194 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Ada County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 520,788 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.384 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Ada County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 526,690 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.569 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Idaho’s data lends no help to the creepy old man Sam Seder. Let’s look at Virginia! https://va.beyond2020.com/va_public/Browse/browsetables.aspx https://va.beyond2020.com/va_public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=26 VIRGINIA had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 83,122,985 & 598 murders * in the months of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.719 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 0.887, 0.691, 0.647, 0.678, 0.541, 0.813, 0.832, 0.720, 0.658, 0.726 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.0964) Virginia (March/April) had a 2020 population of 8,631,388 & 71 murders – a rate of 0.822 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Virginia (March/April) had a 2021 population of 8,658,910 & 80 murders – a rate of 0.923 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID causing that? Virginia (March/April) had a 2022 population of 8,683,414 & 100 murders – a rate of 1.151 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Is COVID-19 still a problem? Virginia (March/April) had a 2023 population of 8,734,685 & 90 murders – a rate of 1.030 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. VIRGINIA had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 83,122,985 & 1,651 murders * in the months MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.986 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2010-19: 2.024, 1.592, 1.820, 1.732, 1.720, 1.901, 2.175, 2.162, 2.211, 2.483 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2629) Virginia (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 8,631,388 & 235 murders – a rate of 2.722 per 100,000 – which is just shy of 3SD above the 2010-19 average. Virginia (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 8,658,910 & 269 murders – a rate of 3.106 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Virginia (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 8,683,414 & 287 murders – a rate of 3.305 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder debunked again, BLM/George Floyd caused the murder spike, not COVID. Virginia (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 8,734,685 & 249 murders – a rate of 2.850 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. RICHMOND CITY has a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,185,415 & 70 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL – a rate of 3.203 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 5.386, 1.938, 3.320, 1.402, 3.225, 1.811, 3.993, 3.520, 4.362, 3.037 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.1686) Richmond City (March/April) had a 2020 population of 226,525 & 11 murders – a rate of 4.855 per 100,000 –which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Richmond City (March/April) had a 2021 population of 227,164 & 14 murders – a rate of 6.162 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID-19 still runnin’ wild like Hulkamania brother! Richmond City (March/April) had a 2022 population of 228,670 & 11 murders – a rate of 4.810 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Richmond City (March/April) had a 2023 population of 230,383 & 17 murders – a rate of 7.379 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. RICHMOND CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,185,415 & 213 murders * in the months MAY THROUGH SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 9.746 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 7.345, 7.267, 11.859, 7.949, 7.371, 9.961, 10.205, 12.762, 10.906, 11.282 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.9563) Richmond City (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 226,525 & 31 murders – a rate of 13.685 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Richmond City (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 227,164 & 36 murders – a rate of 15.847 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder is retarded Richmond City (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 228,670 & 27 murders – a rate of 11.807 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Richmond City (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 230,383 & 27 murders – a rate of 11.719 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. NEWPORT NEWS CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 1,802,012 & 39 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – which is a rate of 2.164 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 1.106, 1.665, 1.666, 2.758, 2.203, 4.420, 0.0, 2.786, 2.800, 2.231 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.1198) Newport News (March/April) had a 2020 population of 186,239 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.536 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. Newport News (March/April) had a 2021 population of 184,717 & 7 murders – a rate of 3.789 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Newport News (March/April) had a 2022 population of 184,004 & 7 murders – a rate of 3.804 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Newport News (March/April) had a 2023 population of 183,249 & 5 murders – a rate of 2.728 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. No help for creepy old man Sam Seder on that one. NEWPORT NEWS CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 1,802,012 & 103 murders *in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER – which is a rate of 5.715 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 7.193, 4.442, 4.443, 2.758, 6.610, 4.973, 6.658, 4.458, 7.281, 8.369 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.6578) Newport News City (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 186,239 & 14 murders – a rate of 7.517 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Newport News City (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 184,717 & 12 murders – a rate of 6.496 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Newport News City (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 184,004 & 15 murders – a rate of 8.151 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Newport News City (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 183,249 & 27 murders – a rate of 14.734 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder looks like a big dumbass NORFOLK CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,447,658 & 59 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 2.410 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 2.471, 0.820, 2.843, 2.444, 1.622, 1.217, 4.884, 2.453, 3.284, 2.059 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.0851) Norfolk City (March/April) had a 2020 population of 238,029 & 7 murders – a rate of 2.940 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Norfolk City (March/April) had a 2021 population of 234,920 & 6 murders – a rate of 2.554 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Norfolk City (March/April) had a 2022 population of 232,766 & 10 murders – a rate of 4.296 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Norfolk City (March/April) had a 2023 population of 231,378 & 7 murders – a rate of 3.025 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder looking dumb again NORFOLK CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 2,447,658 & 147 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 6.005 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 5.765, 7.797, 5.281, 4.481, 4.055, 4.463, 8.140, 4.907, 5.747, 9.475 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.7369) Norfolk City (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 238,029 & 23 murders – a rate of 9.662 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Norfolk City (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 234,920 & 35 murders – a rate of 14.898 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. Norfolk City (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 232,766 & 34 murders – a rate of 14.606 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Norfolk City (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 231,378 & 21 murders – a rate of 9.076 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Murder certainly is not down in Norfolk & it’s not up because of COVID. Let’s continue throttling the mentally ill troglodyte, Sam Seder. PORTSMOUTH CITY had a 2010-19 population of 955,154 & 24 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 2.512 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 3.140, 3.133, 1.036, 0.0, 3.130, 4.152, 2.101, 1.054, 2.110, 5.296 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.5016) Portsmouth City (March/April) had a 2020 population of 97,945 & 4 murders – a rate of 4.083 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Portsmouth City (March/April) had a 2021 population of 97,700 & 3 murders – a rate of 3.070 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Portsmouth City (March/April) had a 2022 population of 96,989 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Portsmouth City (March/April) had a 2023 population of 96,782 & 5 murders – a rate of 5.166 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. PORTSMOUTH CITY had a 2010-19 population of 955,154 & 69 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 7.223 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2010-19: 6.280, 3.133, 5.182, 10.408, 1.043, 14.532, 6.304, 8.435, 9.498, 7.415 * Population Standard Deviation = 3.6203) Portsmouth City (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 97,945 & 13 murders – a rate of 13.272 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Portsmouth City (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 97,700 & 13 murders – a rate of 13.306 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Portsmouth City (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 96,989 & 28 murders – a rate of 28.869 per 100,000 – which is almost 6SD ABOVE the 2010-19 average. Portsmouth City (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 96,782 & 10 murders – a rate of 10.332 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. ROANOKE CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 986,245 & 19 murders * in the MONTHS of MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.926 per 100,0000 (Here are the yearly murder rates 2010-19: 0.0, 6.199, 3.060, 3.034, 0.0, 2.006, 2.013, 2.020, 0.0, 1.008 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.8101) Roanoke City had a 2020 population of 100,016 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.999 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Roanoke City had a 2021 population of 98,717 & 2 murders – a rate of 2.025 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Roanoke City had a 2022 population of 97,743 & 1 murder – a rate of 1.023 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Roanoke City had a 2023 population of 97,503 & 2 murders – a rate of 2.051 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. ROANOKE CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 986,245 & 46 murders * in the MONTHS of MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 4.664 per 100,0000 (Here are the yearly murder rates 2010-19: 6.183, 3.099, 3.060, 5.058, 1.005, 4.013, 6.040, 5.051, 5.050, 8.069 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.873) Roanoke City had a 2020 population of 100,016 & 6 murders – a rate of 5.999 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Roanoke City had a 2021 population of 98,717 & 11 murders – a rate of 11.142 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 20102-19 average. COVID-19 must’ve caused that? Roanoke City had a 2022 population of 97,743 & 11 murders – a rate of 11.254 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Roanoke City had a 2023 population of 97,503 & 17 murders – a rate of 17.435 per 100,000 – which is >6SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID still running wild? PETERBURG CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 cumulative population of 317,870 & 29 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 9.123 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 12.338, 3.116, 3.125, 6.189, 18.609, 9.406, 0.0, 6.423, 12.879, 19.141 * Population Standard Deviation = 6.2133) Petersburg City (March/April) had a 2020 population of 33,465 & 3 murders – a rate of 8.964 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Petersburg City (March/April) had a 2021 population of 33,422 & 1 murder – a rate of 2.992 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Petersburg City (March/April) had a 2022 population of 33,481 & 8 murders – a rate of 23.894 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Petersburg City (March/April) had a 2023 population of 33,328 & 5 murders – a rate of 15.002 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. PETERSBURG CITY had a cumulative 2010-19 cumulative population of 317,870 & 51 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 16.044 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 15.422, 6.232, 0.0, 9.284, 12.406, 28.220, 9.560, 22.481, 38.639, 19.141 * Population Standard Deviation = 10.7925) Petersburg City (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 33,465 & 9 murders – a rate of 26.893 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Petersburg City (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 33,422 & 9 murders – a rate of 26.928 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Petersburg City (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 33,481 & 9 murders – a rate of 26.880 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Petersburg City (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 33,328 & 12 murders – a rate of 36.005 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. The data from Virginia indicates Sam Seder copies talking points, he’s not a data guy, but he is a trust funder that gets excited thinking about his own kid & Roman Polanski. #samseder #majorityreport https://rumble.com/vcj22f-face-bloat-stan-seder-i-mean-sam-seder-vs.-face-bloat-stan-seder.html Let’s look at Colorado! https://coloradocrimestats.state.co.us/ https://coloradocrimestats.state.co.us/public/View/dispview.aspx From 2010-19 (March/April) COLORADO had a cumulative population of 54,013,833 & 295 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL – a rate of 0.546 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 0.437, 0.585, 0.462, 0.607, 0.429, 0.477, 0.505, 0.694, 0.667, 0.573 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.0903) Colorado (March/April) had a 2020 population of 5,775,324 & 35 murders – a rate of 0.606 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Colorado (March/April) had a 2021 population of 5,814,036 & 49 murders – a rate of 0.842 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Must be COVID-19, right? Colorado (March/April) had a 2022 population of 5,850,935 & 61 murders – a rate of 1.042 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2010-19 average. Colorado (March/April) had a 2023 population of 5,901,339 & 56 murders – a rate of 0.948 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. No help for ferret face on that one. From 2010-19 (May-Sept) COLORADO had a cumulative population of 54,013,833 & 770 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.425 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2010-19: 0.835, 1.132, 1.598, 1.233, 1.121, 1.357, 1.660, 1.728, 1.616, 1.858 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3111) Colorado (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 5,775,324 & 163 murders – a rate of 2.822 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Colorado (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 5,814,036 & 150 murders – a rate of 2.579 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Colorado (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 5,850,935 & 157 murders – a rate of 2.683 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Colorado (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 5,901,339 & 132 murders – a rate of 2.236 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Sam Seder debunked again DENVER COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 6,697,705 & 76 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.134 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 0.333, 0.966, 1.259, 1.231, 0.902, 1.609, 1.149, 1.276, 1.396, 1.100 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.326) Denver County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 715,513 & 10 murders – a rate of 1.397 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Denver County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 711,530 & 13 murders – a rate of 1.827 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Denver County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 714,851 & 21 murders – a rate of 2.937 per 100,000 – which is >5SD of the 2010-19 average. Denver County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 721,367 & 16 murders – a rate of 2.218 per 100,000 – which is >3SD of the 2010-19 average. DENVER COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 6,697,705 & 208 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER – a rate of 3.105 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder totals (May-Sept) 2010-19: 1.166, 3.384, 2.204, 2.463, 2.106, 3.073, 3.160, 4.255, 3.211, 5.500 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.1448) Denver County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 715,513 & 62 murders – a rate of 8.665 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2010-19 average. Looks like Sam Seder is full of dung, eh? Denver County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 711,530 & 47 murders – a rate of 6.605 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Denver County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 714,851 & 29 murders – a rate of 4.056 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Denver County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 721,367 & 37 murders – a rate of 5.129 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Let’s look at Nevada now (data only available back to 2014, sorry)! [NOTE: The data supposedly goes back to 2012, HOWEVER – when I loaded the data for Clark County & NV statewide, the 2012 & 2013 years (for March/April) were both blank & then in 2014 the numbers appear. That said, I will start in 2014) https://nevadacrimestats.nv.gov/tops/ https://nevadacrimestats.nv.gov/public/View/dispview.aspx?ReportId=258 NEVADA statewide had a cumulative 2014-19 population of 17,679,532 & 197 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.114 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) totals 2014-19: 1.348, 0.872, 1.336, 1.144, 0.990, 1.006 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1782) Nevada (March/April) had a 2020 population of 3,105,595 & 21 murders – a rate of 0.676 per 100,000 – which is >2SD BELOW the 2014-19 average. Nevada (March/April) had a 2021 population of 3,148,141 & 34 murders – a rate of 1.080 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Nevada (March/April) had a 2022 population of 3,176,116 & 44 murders – a rate of 1.385 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2014-19 average. Nevada (March/April) had a 2023 population of 3,214,363 & 35 murders – a rate of 1.088 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. No help for the creepy old man Sam Seder on that one either. NEVADA statewide had a cumulative 2014-19 population of 17,679,532 & 456 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER – a rate of 2.579 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2014-19: 2.484, 2.825, 3.016, 2.356, 2.840, 1.980 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3505) Nevada (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 3,105,595 & 83 murders – a rate of 2.672 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Nevada (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 3,148,141 & 119 murders – a rate of 3.780 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2014-19 average. I thought “crime was down” Sam Seder? Nevada (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 3,176,116 & 89 murders – a rate of 2.802 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Nevada (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 3,214,363 & 93 murders – a rate of 2.893 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. CLARK COUNTY had a cumulative 2014-19 population of 12,963,152 & 171 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 1.319 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2014-19: 1.558, 0.953, 1.729, 1.329, 1.167, 1.191 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2578) Clark County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 2,266,452 & 15 murders – a rate of 0.661 per 100,000 – which is >2SD BELOW the 2014-19 average. Clark County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 2,296,651 & 26 murders – a rate of 1.132 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average Clark County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 2,321,961 & 30 murders – a rate of 1.292 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Clark County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 2,354,285 & 26 murders – a rate of 1.104 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. No help for bipolar creep Sam Seder on that one either. CLARK COUNTY had a cumulative 2014-19 population of 12,963,152 & 378 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER – a rate of 2.915 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2014-19: 3.068, 3.243, 3.506, 2.612, 3.189, 1.941 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.5156) Clark County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 2,266,452 & 59 murders – a rate of 2.603 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Clark County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 2,296,651 & 101 murders – a rate of 4.397 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2014-19 average. Clark County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 2,321,961 & 69 murders – a rate of 2.971 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Clark County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 2,354,285 & 70 murders – a rate of 2.973 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Nevada bucked some national trends, looks like Sam Seder is a moron. I would add MISSOURI and/or ILLINOIS, but the former’s interactive crime dashboards do NOT go back very far & the latter has massive data holes post-2020. I want at least 4 years prior to 2020; they don’t have it. Sorry! (I fudged this a bit later, stay tuned) https://ma.beyond2020.com/ https://ma.beyond2020.com/ma_public/Browse/browsetables.aspx MASSACHUSETTS had a 2010-19 population of 67,552,891 & 190 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.281 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 0.335, 0.302, 0.270, 0.297, 0.295, 0.309, 0.278, 0.276, 0.261, 0.188 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.0371) Massachusetts (March/April) had a 2020 population of 7,033,132 & 14 murders – a rate of 0.199 per 100,000 – which is >2SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. Massachusetts (March/April) had a 2021 population of 7,000,474 & 14 murders – a rate of 0.199 per 100,000 – which is >2SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. Massachusetts (March/April) had a 2022 population of 7,022,468 & 23 murders – a rate of 0.327 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Massachusetts (March/April) had a 2023 population of 7,066,568 & 21 murders – a rate of 0.297 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. No help for creepy old man Sam Seder. MASSACHUSETTS had a 2010-19 population of 67,552,891 & 603 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 0.892 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2010-19: 0.733, 0.589, 0.825, 0.998, 0.872, 0.794, 0.776, 1.326, 0.900, 1.088 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1957) Massachusetts (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 7,033,132 & 87 murders – a rate of 1.237 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Massachusetts (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 7,000,474 & 55 murders – a rate of 0.785 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Massachusetts (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 7,022,468 & 71 murders – a rate of 1.011 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Massachusetts (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 7,066,568 & 66 murders – a rate of 0.933 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. SUFFOLK COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 7,729,412 & 49 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.633 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates 2010-19: 0.0, 0.135, 1.065, 0.918, 1.034, 0.511, 0.630, 0.624, 0.871, 0.497 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3417) Suffolk County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 800,937 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.374 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Suffolk County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 776,280 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.386 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Suffolk County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 777,266 & 8 murders – a rate of 1.029 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Delayed COVID murder spike? Suffolk County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 781,678 & 6 murders – a rate of 0.767 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. SUFFOLK COUNTY had a cumulative 2012-19 population of 6,270,248 & 189 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 3.014 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (May-Sept) rates 2012-19: 3.594, 3.278, 2.843, 2.044, 2.271, 4.120, 2.988, 2.985 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.6278) [NOTE: I TOSSED 2010 & 2011 from Suffolk because murder rates usually don’t make abrupt shifts like that, I think those first two years are wonky & I want to be as fair as possible. They may correct this in the future perhaps. This is why I like to do long time frames, if I find what I believe to be an obvious outlier due to error or lack of reporting, I can toss it. In addition, some years they have blank & other years they put a ZERO, I wish they would put “N/A”, so I know it’s because NO reporting was done. I think the March & April data for Suffolk is kosher, but I suspect something in May-Sept 2010 & 2011 – if it turns out I’m wrong, sue me] Suffolk County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 800,937 & 36 murders – a rate of 4.494 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2012-19 average. Suffolk County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 776,280 & 22 murders – a rate of 2.834 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD above the 2012-19 average. Suffolk County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 777,266 & 20 murders – a rate of 2.573 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2012-19 average. Suffolk County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 781,678 & 13 murders – a rate of 1.663 per 100,000 – which is >2SD BELOW the 2012-19 average. No help for groomer Seder on that one. https://crimestats.dos.nh.gov/public/Browse/BrowseTables.aspx https://crimestats.dos.nh.gov/ New Hampshire NEW HAMPSHIRE had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 13,361,487 & 41 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.306 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder (March/April) rates 2010-19: 0.227, 0.075, 0.604, 0.301, 0.224, 0.374, 0.148, 0.222, 0.073, 0.808 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2232) New Hampshire (March/April) had a 2020 population of 1,377,546 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.145 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. New Hampshire (March/April) had a 2021 population of 1,387,677 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.072 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. New Hampshire (March/April) had a 2022 population of 1,396,678 & 6 murders – a rate of 0.429 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. New Hampshire (March/April) had a 2023 population of 1,402,199 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.071 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average. NEW HAMPSHIRE had a 2010-19 cumulative population of 13,361,487 & 81 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER – a rate of 0.606 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 0.379, 0.757, 0.151, 0.979, 0.524, 0.673, 0.670, 0.296, 0.886, 0.735 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2504) New Hampshire (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 1,377,546 & 6 murders – a rate of 0.435 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. New Hampshire (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 1,387,677 & 6 murders – a rate of 0.432 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. New Hampshire (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 1,396,678 & 18 murders – a rate of 1.288 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. New Hampshire (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 1,402,199 & 11 murders – a rate of 0.784 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. The data from NH proves not only did the crime wave not start w/ COVID, but it wasn’t up everywhere, just the usual places. HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 4,085,572 & 13 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.318 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 0.499, 0.0, 0.0, 0.246, 0.491, 0.978, 0.0, 0.242, 0.0, 0.719 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3278) Hillsborough County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 422,944 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.236 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Hillsborough County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 424,475 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Hillsborough County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 426,307 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Hillsborough County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 427,719 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. No help for the creep Sam Seder HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 4,085,572 & 32 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 0.783 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 0.249, 0.993, 0.0, 1.727, 0.491, 1.711, 0.729, 0.0, 0.964, 0.959 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.5882) Hillsborough County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 422,944 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.472 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Hillsborough County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 424,475 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.942 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Hillsborough County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 426,307 & 7 murders – a rate of 1.642 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Hillsborough County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 427,719 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.701 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. No help for nonce Seder on that one. https://sdcrime.nibrs.com/Report/CrimeTrends SOUTH DAKOTA had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 8,515,979 & 27 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.317 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2010-19: 0.368, 0.485, 0.359, 0.237, 0.353, 0.234, 0.463, 0.343, 0.113, 0.226 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1091) [NOTE: SD does NOT allow me to filter it by COUNTY, only by AGENCY!] SD (March/April) had a 2020 population of 886,729 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.451 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. SD (March/April) had a 2021 population of 896,492 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.334 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. SD (March/April) had a 2022 population of 909,723 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.219 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. SD (March/April) had a 2023 population of 918,305 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.326 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. SOUTH DAKOTA had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 8,515,979 & 75 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 0.880 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2010-19: 0.736, 1.092, 0.599, 0.118, 1.177, 1.756, 0.695, 1.031, 0.682, 0.904 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.4096) SD had a 2020 population of 886,729 (May-Sept) & 19 murders – a rate of 2.142 per 100,000 – which is >3SD above the 2010-19 average. Again, a more pronounced spike after the Fentanyl Floyd riots, facilitated by Antifa, BLM & the Pedocrat Party SD had a 2021 population of 896,492 (May-Sept) & 4 murders – a rate of 0.446 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2010-19 average SD had a 2022 population of 909,723 (May-Sept) & 12 murders – a rate of 1.319 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. COVID? SD had a 2023 population of 918,305 (May-Sept) & 9 murders – a rate of 0.980 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Since SD does NOT (oddly) allow to filter this by County, I would wager there’s a signal there in PENNINGTON COUNTY, I just know. So, I will filter this by having the Pennington County Sheriff’s Office, the Rapid City PD & the Box Elder PD in one group by themselves, that should capture any murders in that county. When you see PENNINGTON COUNTY, that’s what I’m doing. PENNINGTON COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 1,074,440 & 5 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.465 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2010-19: 0.0, 0.0, 2.878, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.0, 0.904, 0.0, 0.878 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.8775) Pennington County (March/April) had a 2020 population of 109,229 & 2 murders – a rate of 1.831 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. Pennington County (March/April) had a 2021 population of 111,903 & 3 murders – a rate of 2.680 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2010-19 average. Pennington County (March/April) had a 2022 population of 114,269 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.875 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. Pennington County (March/April) had a 2023 population of 115,834 & 0 murders – a rate of 0.0 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2010-19 average. PENNINGTON COUNTY had a cumulative 2010-19 population of 1,074,440 & 19 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.768 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates 2010-19: 0.0, 2.929, 0.959, 0.0, 4.650, 4.625, 1.832, 0.904, 0.893, 0.878 * Population Standard Deviation = 1.6441) Pennington County (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 109,229 & 9 murders – a rate of 8.239 per 100,000 – which is ALMOST 4SD above the 2010-19 average. Again, a much bigger signal after the Floyd Riots Pennington County (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 111,903 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.574 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average Pennington County (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 114,269 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.500 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average Pennington County (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 115,834 & 4 murders – a rate of 3.453 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2010-19 average. I was correct in my assumption of this county. That’s it for South Dakota! RI’s data only goes back to 2017, but I’m going to run it anyways – feel free to take this data w/ a grain of salt https://riucr.nibrs.com/Report/CrimeTrends RHODE ISLAND had a 2017-19 population of 3,173,321 & 9 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.283 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2017-19: 0.189, 0.188, 0.471 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1332) Rhode Island (March/April) had a 2020 population of 1,097,354 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.273 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2017-19 average. Rhode Island (March/April) had a 2021 population of 1,097,246 & 6 murders – a rate of 0.546 per 100,000 – which is just shy of 2SD above the 2017-19 average. Rhode Island (March/April) had a 2022 population of 1,099,498 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.272 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2017-19 average. Rhode Island (March/April) had a 2023 population of 1,103,429 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.362 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2017-19 average. RHODE ISLAND had a 2017-19 population of 3,173,321 & 27 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER – a rate of 0.850 per 100,000 (Here are yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2017-19: 1.041, 0.661, 0.849 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1551) Rhode Island (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 1,097,354 & 16 murders – a rate of 1.458 per 100,000 – which is almost 4SD above the 2017-19 average. Rhode Island (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 1,097,246 & 21 murders – a rate of 1.913 per 100,000 – which is almost 7SD above the 2017-19 average. Rhode Island (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 1,099,498 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.363 per 100,000 – which is >3SD BELOW the 2017-19 average. Rhode Island (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 1,103,429 & 17 murders – a rate of 1.540 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2017-19 average. I’m guessing if I had data going back further, the disparities between pre & post-George Floyd would be even larger. Now to North Dakota, which has old school PDFs (I prefer data like Iowa & Texas have if you care), but they have the number of monthly murders, which may or may not have been changed years later, so the accuracy might be a bit off since I don’t have real time data. What I will do is start at 2015 (since I have to look at each report, which lists every single murder victim & date of the murder – this takes a while so I’m not going back to 2010) https://attorneygeneral.nd.gov/public-safety/crime-data/crime-and-homicide-reports/ NORTH DAKOTA had a cumulative 2015-2019 population of 3,783,584 & 19 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.502 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (March/April) murder rates 2015-19: 0.530, 0.662, 0.0, 0.263, 1.049 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.3563) North Dakota (March/April) had a 2020 population of 779,046 & 2 murders – a rate of 0.256 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2015-19 average. North Dakota (March/April) had a 2021 population of 777,966 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.128 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2015-19 average. North Dakota (March/April) had a 2022 population of 781,057 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.384 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2015-19 average. North Dakota (March/April) had a 2023 population of 789,047 & 3 murders – a rate of 0.380 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2015-19 average. NORTH DAKOTA had a cumulative 2015-2019 population of 3,783,584 & 49 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.295 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2015-19: 1.193, 0.927, 1.192, 1.714, 1.443 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.266) North Dakota (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 779,046 & 18 murders – a rate of 2.310 per 100,000 – which is almost 4SD above the 2015-19 average. North Dakota (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 777,966 & 12 murders – a rate of 1.542 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2015-19 average. North Dakota (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 781,057 & 16 murders – a rate of 2.048 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2015-19 average. North Dakota (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 789,047 & 13 murders – a rate of 1.647 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2015-19 average. No help for dumbass Sam Seder on that one either. This concludes PART II, moving to PART III66 views 1 comment -
Sam Seder's MORONIC LIES DEBUNKED (Covid caused crime? 4)
UTubekookdetectorDivorcee Sam Seder says COVID-19 caused crime (Debunked PART IV) Only two left, every other state either doesn’t publish data that goes back far enough or doesn’t give me good data on monthly murders. Unfortunately, AZ’s data only goes back to 2017, but let’s run it anyways. I had to fudge my parameters because there just isn’t a lot of good data out there that meet my specifications for debunking this aging creep Sam Seder. ARIZONA https://azcrimestatistics.azdps.gov/tops https://azcrimestatistics.azdps.gov/ had a cumulative 2017-19 population of 21,480,749 & 164 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.763 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2017-19: 0.780, 0.768, 0.741 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.0163) Arizona (March/April) had a 2020 population of 7,158,110 & 68 murders – a rate of 0.949 per 100,000 – which is an eye-popping >11SD above the 2017-19 average. If I had a longer string of data, this would be seriously reduced. That said, COVID-19 was really ravaging AZ, wasn’t it? These are the pitfalls of a short series of data. Arizona (March/April) had a 2021 population of 7,274,078 & 81 murders – a rate of 1.113 per 100,000 – which is >21SD above the 2017-19 average. Arizona (March/April) had a 2022 population of 7,377,566 & 86 murders – a rate of 1.165 per 100,000 – which is >24SD above the 2017-19 average. COVID-19 was really causing lots of issues in AZ years later because the “vaccines” were a failure. Arizona (March/April) had a 2023 population of 7,473,027 & 94 murders – a rate of 1.257 per 100,000 – which is >30SD above the 2017-19 average. [NOTE: This site is prone to crashes & just general unavailability while perusing data] ARIZONA had a cumulative 2017-19 population of 21,480,749 & 423 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 1.969 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2017-19: 2.129, 1.969, 1.813 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.129) Arizona (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 7,158,110 & 200 murders – a rate of 2.794 per 100,000 – which is >6SD above the 2017-19 average. Arizona (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 7,274,078 & 235 murders – a rate of 3.230 per 100,000 – which is >9SD above the 2017-19 average. Arizona (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 7,377,566 & 217 murders – a rate of 2.941 per 100,000 – which is >7SD above the 2017-19 average. The COVID-19 “vaccines” were so ineffective, it was still causing a massive murder spike 2 years later! Arizona (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 7,473,027 &187 murders – a rate of 2.502 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2017-19 average. MARICOPA COUNTY had a cumulative 2017-19 population of 13,215,001 & 109 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.824 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (March/April) 2017-19: 0.970, 0.772, 0.735 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1032) Maricopa County had a (March/April) 2020 population of 4,425,315 & 43 murders – a rate of 0.971 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2017-19 average. Maricopa County had a (March/April) 2021 population of 4,500,147 & 49 murders – a rate of 1.088 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2017-19 average. Maricopa County had a (March/April) 2022 population of 4,564,457 & 60 murders – a rate of 1.314 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2017-19 average. COVID-19 still ravaging AZ? Maricopa County had a (March/April) 2023 population of 4,615,625 & 58 murders – a rate of 1.256 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above the 2017-19 average. The murder spike across AZ statewide was much more pronounced than the spike in Maricopa. MARICOPA COUNTY had a cumulative 2017-19 population of 13,215,001 & 287 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 2.171 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly murder rates (May-Sept) 2017-19: 2.334, 2.203, 1.984 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1444) Maricopa County had a (May-Sept) 2020 population of 4,425,315 & 128 murders – a rate of 2.892 per 100,000 – which is >4SD above (almost 5) the 2017-19 average. Maricopa County had a (May-Sept) 2021 population of 4,500,147 & 133 murders – a rate of 2.955 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2017-19 average. Maricopa County had a (May-Sept) 2022 population of 4,564,457 & 135 murders – a rate of 2.957 per 100,000 – which is >5SD above the 2017-19 average. Maricopa County had a (May-Sept) 2023 population of 4,615,625 & 119 murders – a rate of 2.578 per 100,000 – which is >2SD above the 2017-19 average. AZ statewide had a massive murder spike after George Floyd & it was much more pronounced outside Maricopa. IF COVID had caused this, one would expect it to taper off, but it got worse in 2021 & 2022. I will conclude that Sam Seder is functionally retarded mouth-breather. Let’s try another state! MAINE https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/media-center/homicide-lists [NOTE: I did some cross-checking to see how multiple sources compare. If you look at https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/sites/maine.gov.dps.msp/files/inline-files/2023%20Crime%20In%20Maine%20Final_2.pdf it says 60 VICTIMS of murder/non-negligent manslaughter but this https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/media-center/homicide-lists/2023-homicides says 53 VICTIMS. I’m going w/ the latter as some charges have likely been reduced to “negligent manslaughter” later or something else unforeseen. If you compare the 2022 report https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/sites/maine.gov.dps.msp/files/inline-files/Crime%20in%20Maine%202022.pdf (28 murders) w/ the homicide list (29 murders) https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/media-center/homicide-lists/2022-homicides there is also a discrepancy. The latter also comes out first and perusing those lists indicates that they do in fact, go back & edit these for accuracy. If you hit up the PDFS & look up the previous number of VICTIMS for murder/non-negligent manslaughter they will publish some the tally for the previous year for various offenses, including murder. This will change the previous years’ data, but you don’t get where the MONTHLY totals changed. I just wanted to let you know that before delving into this. I would go for a longer time frame, but this old school data takes a lot longer] MAINE had a cumulative 2014-19 population of 8,007,973 & 18 murders * in the MONTHS MARCH & APRIL * – a rate of 0.224 per 100,000 (Here are the (March/April) murder rates 2014-19: 0.075, 0.075, 0.225, 0.149, 0.373, 0.446 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.1423) Maine (March/April) had a 2020 population of 1,363,196 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.073 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2014-19 average. Maine (March/April) had a 2021 population of 1,378,931 & 1 murder – a rate of 0.072 per 100,000 – which is >1SD BELOW the 2014-19 average. Maine (March/April) had a 2022 population of 1,390,922 & 4 murders – a rate of 0.287 per 100,000 – which is within the 2014-19 average. Maine (March/April) had a 2023 population of 1,399,646 & 6 murders – a rate of 0.428 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2014-19 average. I guess Maine didn’t get the memo, COVID should’ve caused Democrat voters to go out & start killing indiscriminately. MAINE had a cumulative 2014-19 population of 8,007,973 & 48 murders * in the MONTHS MAY through SEPTEMBER * – a rate of 0.599 per 100,000 (Here are the yearly (May-Sept) murder rates 2014-19: 0.751, 0.978, 0.450, 0.524, 0.373, 0.520 * Population Standard Deviation = 0.2049) Maine (May-Sept) had a 2020 population of 1,363,196 & 7 murders – a rate of 0.513 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. [NOTE: The Maine Homicide report for 2021 https://www.maine.gov/dps/msp/media-center/homicide-lists/2021-homicides included a murder that occurred in 2020 & the indictment in 2021. I moved it to the 2020 column!] Maine (May-Sept) had a 2021 population of 1,378,931 & 10 murders – a rate of 0.725 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. Maine (May-Sept) had a 2022 population of 1,390,922 & 12 murders – a rate of 0.862 per 100,000 – which is >1SD above the 2014-19 average. Maine (May-Sept) had a 2023 population of 1,399,646 & 10 murders – a rate of 0.714 per 100,000 – which is within 1SD of the 2014-19 average. To reiterate: I would do more states, but either their data is unreliable as more entities move to NIBRS from UCR, they don’t have reliable monthly murder data, or they don’t have a wide swath of data. I did include two entities (RI, AZ) that only went back to 2017, just for the heck of it. I would prefer at least 4 years prior to 2020. In conclusion, murder has always been concentrated in this country, never really spread out, so if the murder rate spikes or craters, it’s mostly because the usual suspects (typically urban counties run by Democrats, although you will find a lot of rural counties down South that are veritable war zones) have seen a decline or increase. This is why I went to statewide data & county data, to demonstrate in most cases, the spike was much more pronounced after the Fentanyl Floyd riots & continued years later, it had little to do w/ COVID. Sam Seder calls himself a “news junkie” (which is a nice way of saying he sits on his ass in his small apartment reading “the news” all day because he’s a loser w/ a trust fund to fall back on), but I think he should put down “the news” for a few years & do some meat-and-potatoes reading & research. He was just parroting another talking point that was fed to him, which is typical. He’s not a trailblazer, he’s just another echo chamber that makes an occasional appearance on MSLSD shows that are seeing their ratings tank & then he goes to his little studio to do a 3-hour show w/ Irma Vegetable, I mean Emma Vigeland that nobody watches on Rumble. My playlist debunking the creepy old man Sam Seder https://rumble.com/playlists/XhbURg6Dv4w The playlist for this series of videos https://rumble.com/playlists/ae_6zfWLDRY109 views 7 comments