Impact of Crimea Bridge Attack & Ukraine's Next Likely Offensive

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3 years ago
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- Ukraine strike on Crimea Bridge complicates both civilian and military logistics to Crimea - the former more so than the latter;
- The bridge attack is likely to be followed by anticipated offensive operations by Ukraine in Zaporizhzhia toward Melitopol;
- The bridge attack + Melitopol offensive is meant to isolate Crimea;
- Ukraine's offensive will leave its forces overextended, depleted and vulnerable to Russian forces who have throughout the duration of Ukraine's offensives preserved their manpower and equipment;

References:

Guardian - Key bridge linking Crimea to Russia hit by huge explosion:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/oct/08/crimea-kerch-bridge-explosions-russia-ukraine
Forbes - Ukraine’s Counteroffensives Appear To Be Part Of A Much Bigger Plan—To Divide The Russian Army:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/10/03/ukraines-counteroffensives-appear-to-be-part-of-a-much-bigger-plan-to-divide-the-russian-army/?sh=1ed3dcb6cdf5
Julian Ropcke (Bild) - on the Crimean Bridge attack;
https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1578629986784641024
Jullian Ropcke (Bild) - on the reality of the limits of Ukraine’s offensive:
https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1577308319848480769

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