Vladislav Ugolny front report 09-10-22

https://t.me/SLG_MAPS/265
Forwarded from Vladislav Ugolny]
Regarding the front line - we have a lull here in the sense that nothing else is collapsing yet - the following can be said:

1) On the Svatovsk direction, the Khohol are trying to finish dislodging the Russian army from the Oskol frontier in its last section, north of Kupyansk, with a front to Dvurechnaya. So far they do not succeed, however, sooner or later they will most likely have to withdraw there as well: the Khokhol are gnawing their way to the flank of Tavolzhanka. Also, the enemy is gradually approaching Svatovo and has captured Stelmakhovka. Now, in general, there is a concentration of enemy forces in the direction of the Svatovo - Kreminna route and its attempts to saddle the Kupyansk - Svatovo route.

2) Nothing is clear on the Artemivsk direction except that the Russians are advancing. Previously Otradivka, Zaitsevo, Veselaya Dolina, the asphalt plant, and a definite advance in the industrial area to the east, as well as an uncertain advance towards Podgorny have been liberated. At the same time, open sources suggest that a Wagner DRG has made its way into the centre of Artemivsk. Some commotion is taking place in the area of the Dam, Zabakhmutka, the tenth school. But this is all according to local channels, which are fantasists.

3) An assault on Pervomayskoye has been launched in Donetsk's direction, and our guys finally got there. The strategic plan is unknown to me personally. Perhaps Pervomayskoye is needed to secure the flanks for actions on Krasnogorovka or Vodyanoye. Position fighting continues in other areas, including fog-covered Marinka.

4) In the Kherson direction, our forces have taken up new positions, with the forward line running along the Bruskinskoye-Ishchanka-southern edge of Novaya Kamianka-southern edge of Dudchany. Khohol has suspended the offensive, is pulling in reserves, consolidating in the territory taken, and trying to strike in other directions of this front, to no avail.

5) The mobilization clock is ticking, and people are gradually arriving. The mobilization-related mess (an expected and understandable stress on the system, as there is no experience) is solved. The resources available to the command increase. At the same time, mud and muddy conditions blossom in autumn. Soft mud makes it difficult to use wheeled vehicles (the secret of all the successes of the Khohols blitzkrieg.) The whole September concept of AFU operations is becoming increasingly irrelevant with each passing day as the weather conditions are not favorable to them.

I will not risk making any forecasts. The only thing is that the muddy conditions will reduce the ability to fight in the fields, so there is not much time left for fighting in the fields. Then the focus will shift to urban development. There is no need to hurry here, near Artemivsk everything is proceeding competently and in stages.

But most likely Khohol will try to make another leap. Where? Zaporizhzhya oblast and Ugledarskaya oblast have been mentioned; in this regard, I do not agree with the forecasts of my colleagues, as it is unlikely. In Kherson oblast, the grouping to ensure operational success is small and requires reinforcement. On the other hand, success is possible in the LNR.

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