The Limits of Ukraine's Offensive and the High Price to Pay When it Ends

The Limits of Ukraine's Offensive and the High Price to Pay When it Ends

The New Atlas
Update on Russian operations in Ukraine for October 5, 2022

- Latest US aid package falls far short of replacing steep Ukrainian losses amid continued offensives;
- Ukraine’s offensive has limited capabilities, will not achieve “victory” over Russian forces in territory deemed “Ukrainian” by Kiev;
- Ukrainian offensive is an “all-or-nothing” proposition, hoping to achieve psychological and political gains toward ending the conflict in ways Ukrainian military force cannot;
- Western analysts celebrate the psychological impact the offensive is having on pro-Russian media, pundits, and even prominent members of Russian society;
- In reality, Ukraine will be left overextended and vulnerable just as Russia’s 300,000-strong mobilization begins shaping the battlefield.

References:

US Department of Defense - $625 Million in Additional Security Assistance for Ukraine Oct. 4, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases...
US DoD - Pentagon Press Secretary Brigadier General Pat Ryder and Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Laura K. Cooper Hold a Press Briefing Oct. 4, 2022:
https://www.defense.gov/News/Transcri...
Washington Post - Wounded Ukrainian soldiers reveal steep toll of Kherson offensive:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/...
NY Times - In Ukraine’s South, Fierce Fighting and Deadly Costs:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/24/wo...
Business Insider - The US has given Ukraine nearly 1 million 155 mm artillery shells. Now it's looking for US companies to build more of them.:
https://www.businessinsider.com/us-wa...

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