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Heat vs Nuggets Game 5 Player Props: Cash In on Caldwell-Pope and Porter in Elimination Game
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There’s probably no more discouraging one-two in sports than to even a seven-game series on the road with a dramatic Game 2 win... only to lose both games at home in convincing fashion.
The Denver Nuggets have now largely dominated the NBA Finals, but if there’s anything the Miami Heat have proven throughout these playoffs, it’s that they’re like the undead: They won’t stay down — even in the face of being an overwhelming NBA Final odds underdog — unless you make them.
The Nuggets' first chance to close things out at home is tonight, and I've got my three...
There’s probably no more discouraging one-two in sports than to even a seven-game series on the road with a dramatic Game 2 win... only to lose both games at home in convincing fashion.
The Denver Nuggets have now largely dominated the NBA Finals, but if there’s anything the Miami Heat have proven throughout these playoffs, it’s that they’re like the undead: They won’t stay down — even in the face of being an overwhelming NBA Final odds underdog — unless you make them.
The Nuggets' first chance to close things out at home is tonight, and I've got my three favorite NBA player props, which focus on some of Denver's other dudes delivering tonight.
For more Game 5 NBA free picks, check out our Heat vs. Nuggets Game 5 preview and best Nikola Jokic player props.
Heat vs Nuggets Game 5 player prop picks Adebayo Over 2.5 TOs Porter Jr. Over 5.5 rebs Caldwell-Pope Over 1.5 threes Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis. Heat vs Nuggets Game 5 props
Bamboozled
The Miami Heat are a team that prides itself on not beating itself.
In Game 3, the Heat limited themselves to just two turnovers, but that unraveled in Game 4, with Bam Adebayo himself coughing it up a whopping seven times as the Denver Nuggets showed him a new defensive look — and I’m betting he faces a similar struggle tonight. Nikola Jokic has also become less wary of Bam’s driving game as the series has gone on and is no longer hanging all the way off him on defense. Instead, he’s splitting the difference; he’s not up and hugging him in the upper paint (where Bam likes to operate), but he’s also close enough to pressure every pass he’s trying to throw with his hands or, increasingly, with his feet.
Jokic has mastered an unusual element of defending: He guards with all four limbs, liberally using his feet and legs to obscure — and outright cause deflections — in passing lanes. While a kicked ball is technically a violation, it carries no real penalty except for resetting the clock to 14.Â
The impact it has on the rest of the game, however, is substantial. Passing windows get smaller, angles get tighter, turnovers begin to mount, or opportunities are missed entirely. The added pressure forced Bam into a lot of bad looks, and even accounting for a renewed focus, he’s up against another reason to assume a pile of giveaways on Monday:
This game is for all the marbles.
Erik Spoelstra won’t shy away from playing his top guys every meaningful minute, knowing there’s no tomorrow if they lose. But that has consequences.
Fatigue impacts every aspect of the game. The ability to make snap decisions and execute them with pinpoint accuracy are among the first casualties as mental and physical exhaustion mount over the course of a 48-minute game. The knock-on effects are mental mistakes and missed passes and the resulting turnovers.
Bam is averaging just shy of three turnovers over his last 10 games, including three or more in six out of those ten contests. I like him to hit that number again tonight. Bam Adebayo prop : Over 2.5 turnovers (-105) Best NBA bonuses
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