Astros vs Rangers Predictions, Picks, Odds: Eovaldi Excels on the Mound

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The second installment of this four-game AL West series gets underway on Saturday afternoon with the first-place Texas Rangers hosting the second-place Houston Astros.
Houston won the first game 5-3 after a decisive sixth inning on Friday, but they’re slight underdogs in the MLB odds today.
Will the Astros take care of business once again, or can the Rangers exact some revenge? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Astros vs Rangers on Saturday, July 1.
Astros vs Rangers odds Astros vs Rangers predictions
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is slated to take the mound for the Texas Rangers...

The second installment of this four-game AL West series gets underway on Saturday afternoon with the first-place Texas Rangers hosting the second-place Houston Astros.
Houston won the first game 5-3 after a decisive sixth inning on Friday, but they’re slight underdogs in the MLB odds today.
Will the Astros take care of business once again, or can the Rangers exact some revenge? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Astros vs Rangers on Saturday, July 1.
Astros vs Rangers odds Astros vs Rangers predictions
Right-hander Nathan Eovaldi is slated to take the mound for the Texas Rangers in this matchup, and he should be a great candidate to back. Through 16 starts this season, Eovaldi is 9-3 with a commanding 2.82 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
His underlying metrics suggest that regression is unlikely, as he ranks in the 61st percentile or higher in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and Barrel%. Specifically, we are going to back Eovaldi to generate swings and misses.
Entering Saturday, he ranks in the 53rd percentile or higher in K%, Whiff% and Chase Rate. Boasting a five-pitch arsenal, the right-hander possesses a devastating split finger with a 34.1 Whiff% and 23.1 PutAway%.
Currently, you can find his MLB player prop for strikeouts as low as 5.5 at BetMGM. Eovaldi has recorded at least six strikeouts in three of his past five starts.
This trend is likely to continue Saturday against the Houston Astros. While the Astros are just a few games back of Texas in the divisional standings, it is certainly not because of their hitting.
They are not a “bad hitting team,” but they certainly are not great either, ranking in the bottom half of the league in hits per game, average, and SLG. Additionally, there are an abundance of guys on Houston prone to striking out, especially once you move past the first three batters.
Looking at Saturday’s projected starting lineup, five of the nine hitters possess a K% north of 23% this season. These strikeout woes for Houston are likely to continue against Eovaldi.
Through 104 career plate appearances against the right-hander, this current Astros lineup possesses a 20.2 K% and 20.6 Whiff%. Finally, Eovaldi has recorded at least six strikeouts in four of his past seven starts against the Astros. My best bet: Eovaldi Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+120) Astros vs Rangers same-game parlay Eovaldi Over 5.5 Strikeouts Under 8.5 Rangers moneyline We already covered Eovaldi’s dominance as well as Houston’s average performance at the dish, but what about the other way around? Slated to take the mound for the Astros is right-hander Hunter Brown, who is putting together a strong sophomore campaign.
Through 15 starts, Brown is 6-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. His underlying metrics are also strong, ranking in the 67th percentile or higher in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and K%.
That should be good enough to limit a terrific Rangers lineup that ranks in the Top 2 of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, SLG and OPS. I still like Brown to limit the damage, so it would not be shocking to see a 5-3 or 6-2 Rangers victory on Saturday. Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
Astros vs Rangers moneyline and Over/Under an...