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LA Galaxy vs LAFC Picks and Predictions: Fireworks Aplenty on Independence Day
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It’s always a big deal when LA Galaxy and LAFC face off. Tuesday’s edition of El Trafico, in the words of the late Keith Jackson, could be “the Granddaddy of them all” as the two teams meet on Independence Day in the iconic Rose Bowl Stadium.
The Galaxy continue to languish near the bottom of the Western Conference despite drawing each of their last four matches and having suffered only two defeats in their last eight. Meanwhile, LAFC have lost four of their last six matches in league play and now sit three points back of St Louis City with...
It’s always a big deal when LA Galaxy and LAFC face off. Tuesday’s edition of El Trafico, in the words of the late Keith Jackson, could be “the Granddaddy of them all” as the two teams meet on Independence Day in the iconic Rose Bowl Stadium.
The Galaxy continue to languish near the bottom of the Western Conference despite drawing each of their last four matches and having suffered only two defeats in their last eight. Meanwhile, LAFC have lost four of their last six matches in league play and now sit three points back of St Louis City with a match in hand.
The 20th El Trafico is expected to be the most-attended MLS match in history, and we’re here to break it down from a betting perspective in our LA Galaxy vs LAFC picks and predictions for Tuesday, July 4.
LA Galaxy vs LAFC best odds LA Galaxy vs LAFC picks and predictions
To say LAFC have been playing with one hand tied behind their back isn’t far from being true. Midfielder Kellyn Acosta and defenders Jesus Murillo and Sergi Palencia have been out injured, while defender Aaron Long is on international duty with the USMNT. That’s all in addition to the continued absence of goalkeeper Maxime Crepeau.
While Acosta returned to action in their 2-0 loss to FC Dallas this weekend, it’s going to take him a bit of time to get back up to speed. LAFC are still recovering from their run to the CONCACAF Champions League final, and are in the midst of a congested fixture list. They’ve played seven matches since June 7, and they will play another five over a 17-day stretch, including Tuesday’s match . That’s why our best bet is for LA Galaxy to get a result on Tuesday. The Galaxy might not be the best team in the league — heck, only Colorado have fewer points this season. They’ve also got some injury issues, with stars Javier Hernandez and Martin Caceres both on the shelf for the rest of the season. But they’re rested, with just five matches played since the start of June.
More importantly, they’re fighting to get results. They’ve drawn four straight matches, with two of those seeing them drop points late from winning positions. The streak started with a draw at St Louis City, and this weekend they went into San Jose and nearly got a victory before an 81st-minute goal from Cristian Espinoza denied them all three points. More impressive, they got the last two draws with both their first-choice center backs out of the lineup.
When these two clubs get together, records and results go out the window. They’ve split the last 10 meetings evenly; each side has four victories to go along with two draws. This match was supposed to open the MLS season, but having it on the 4th of July works out perfectly because these teams tend to bring the fireworks when they meet up.
But at the end of the night, I the Galaxy are going to have enough fight and draw enough energy from the amped crowd to see it through. LAFC are favored far too heavily given their recent run of form, in addition to allowing 11 goals over their last six matches.
Take the Galaxy getting half a goal on the Asian handicap, which has a better price at -111 than the double chance. If your book doesn’t offer the Asian handicap market, then avoid the 3-way spread and take the double chance instead, which is currently priced between -125 and -135. My best bet: LA Galaxy +0.5 Asian handicap (-111 at bet365) Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Di...
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