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2023 Home Run Derby Odds and Picks: Robert No Fluke as Top Seed
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Today's the day. The field is set for the 2023 Home Run Derby, perhaps the keynote event of MLB's annual All-Star break.
There is a mix of talent including some staples from previous derbies to go along with some fresh faces for the event. Though neither league's leader in home runs (Shohei Ohtani from the AL, Matt Olson from the NL) will be represented, there are still some big boppers taking part. ????DINGER PROPS???? #HRDerby pic.twitter.com/YJ2EUkEJ68 — Andrew Caley (@Covers_Caley) July 10, 2023 And it's no surprise to see New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso enter as the betting...
Today's the day. The field is set for the 2023 Home Run Derby, perhaps the keynote event of MLB's annual All-Star break.
There is a mix of talent including some staples from previous derbies to go along with some fresh faces for the event. Though neither league's leader in home runs (Shohei Ohtani from the AL, Matt Olson from the NL) will be represented, there are still some big boppers taking part. ????DINGER PROPS???? #HRDerby pic.twitter.com/YJ2EUkEJ68 — Andrew Caley (@Covers_Caley) July 10, 2023 And it's no surprise to see New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso enter as the betting favorite having won twice before (2019, 2021).
Will Alonso become a three-time winner after coming up short in 2022? Let's break down the MLB odds for the 2023 Home Run Derby, scheduled for Monday, July 10 at 8 p.m. ET. And don't forget to check out Andrew Caley's Home Run Derby props column.
Odds to win the 2023 Home Run Derby Odds courtesy of DraftKings on July 10, 2023. 2023 MLB Home Run Derby first-round matchups Luis Robert (1) vs. Adley Rutschman (8)
Pete Alonso (2) vs. Julio Rodriguez (7)
Mookie Betts (3) vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (6)
Adolis Garcia (4) vs. Randy Arozarena (5) Seeds were determined by amount of home runs hit during the regular season through July 4.Â
2023 MLB Home Run Derby field and favorites
While some players shy away from the Home Run Derby — especially when it comes to repeat performances — because it might mess with their swing or their timing at the plate, New York Mets slugger Pete Alonso seems to live for this event. This marks the fourth consecutive year he's taken part. He won his first two attempts before falling to Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodriguez in the semifinals last year.
Rodriguez — who gets a possible hometown advantage with the event being hosted in Seattle — hit by far the most dingers in last year's tournament with 81 but most of those came in the first two rounds before falling to Juan Soto in the finals. Soto isn't back to defend his title this year, and only one of these two returning sluggers will make it past the first round because they're matched up once more.
Oddsmakers aren't too bullish on J-Rod, but he does have the fourth-shortest odds to win the whole thing despite going up against the overall favorite in the opening round. Should Alonso outlast Rodriguez this time around, he could face another familiar foe in Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the man he defeated in the 2019 finals to win his first Derby crown. Guerrero will first have to defeat Los Angeles Dodgers superstar Mookie Betts, who, despite having hit the third-most homers this year among competitors, has shorter odds than just two of his peers.
Betts is surprisingly making his first appearance, but so is the rest of the field. That includes top seed Luis Robert, who draws Baltimore Orioles catcher Adley Rutschman in what looks like a potential gimmee, though regular-season pop can't always be used as a predictive force.
Finally, Adolis Garcia and Randy Arozarena round out the field in what might be the most swagger-filled matchup in the opening round. Best MLB bonuses
Looking to bet on some baseball action? Here are two of the best bonuses* available:
A) Get boosted odds on Pete Alonso to win the Home Run Derby at Betway! Bet Now B) Get a 50% profit boost on any Home Run Derby bet at DraftKings! Opt-in N...
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