Hamas Attacks! We Predict What Will Happen Next?

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Delve into the complex world of geopolitics with our comprehensive analysis of the unexpected Hamas assault on Israeli soil on the morning of October 7th, 2023. This particular confrontation between Israel and Hamas is unparalleled in its intensity and potential ramifications, signaling a pivotal moment in their longstanding conflict. Drawing from a rich tapestry of historical events and leveraging prediction markets, our insights suggest a prolonged conflict, with a mere 10% likelihood of resolution by November.

A pivotal factor in this unfolding drama is Iran's speculated involvement. If substantiated, this could dramatically alter the regional dynamics, hinting at a larger, more intricate geopolitical chess game. The US's strategic decision to deploy a significant naval presence in the region further emphasizes the global stakes at play.

Economically, the reverberations of this conflict might be felt at gas stations worldwide. With the Middle East's geopolitical instability, we predict a 55% chance that oil prices could soar to $100 a barrel in 2023. Moreover, the diplomatic dance between Saudi Arabia and Israel in the coming months will be crucial. Their potential alliance or lack thereof could redefine Middle Eastern geopolitics for generations.

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Timestamps:

00:12 Welcome to Foresight Bureau
01:06 Summary of attacks
02:05 How long will the conflict last?
03:57 Saudi Arabia's response?
05:30 Israeli war with Hezbollah?
07:12 Other nations join conflict?
09:05 Israeli war with Iran?
13.12 Economic Ramifications

Disclaimer:

This video is intended for entertainment purposes only. We do not guarantee the accuracy, or completeness of the information published. We are not responsible for any losses or damages that may arise. Nothing should be interpreted as investment or financial advice.

Geopolitical Predictions:

Will the current conflict between Israel and Hamas be over by November? https://manifold.markets/YotamFederman/will-the-current-conflict-between-i

Will Israel cease and occupy any new previously unoccupied territory by the end of 2023? https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-israel-seize-and-occupy-any-ne?r=Zm9yZXNpZ2h0YnVyZWF1

Will Hamas lose control of Gaza before 2024? https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19308/hamas-loses-de-facto-control-of-gaza-by-2024/

Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2023? https://manifold.markets/Haws/will-isreal-and-lebanon-go-to-war-i

Will Hezbollah directly engage in combat operations against Israel? https://manifold.markets/NADZOR/will-hezbollah-directly-engage-in-c

Will any other nations join the Hamas-Israel war on the side of Hamas by 2024? https://manifold.markets/MilfordHammerschmidt/will-any-other-nations-join-the-ham

Will there be a military conflict between Israel and Iran during 2023? https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-there-be-a-military-conflict-b

Will Israel bomb Iran in retaliation for the Hamas invasion by November 1, 2023? https://manifold.markets/MichaelMRoss/will-israel-bomb-iran-in-retaliatio

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17990/saudi-relations-with-israel-by-early-2025/

Foreign Policy Predictions:

Will Saudi Arabia and Israel normalize relations by the end of 2023? https://futuur.com/q/166809/will-saudi-arabia-and-israel-normalize-relations-by-the-end-of-2023

Financial Predictions:

Will crude oil crude prices rise to $100 a barrel in 2023? https://manifold.markets/AviS/will-crude-oil-crude-prices-raise-t

Will the price of crude oil reach $150 at any time in 2023? https://manifold.markets/a/will-the-price-of-crude-oil-reach-1