#299 Moore's Law

Moore's Law had been a central concept in the world of semiconductor technology for several decades. It originally stated that the number of transistors on a microchip would double approximately every two years, which resulted in consistent improvements in computational power and a reduction in the cost of computing. However, Moore's Law was based on empirical observations rather than a physical law of nature.
Over the years, several factors began to slow down the rate of doubling as originally predicted by Moore:
Physical Limitations: As transistors became smaller and smaller, they approached the limits of classical physics. At a certain point, quantum effects and heat dissipation issues started to impede further miniaturization.
Economic Constraints: The cost of building and operating semiconductor fabrication facilities (fabs) capable of producing ever-smaller transistors increased significantly. The economic feasibility of continuing to double transistor counts on a regular basis became a challenge.
Technological Complexity: Developing and manufacturing smaller transistors required increasingly complex and expensive technology, making it harder for companies to keep up the pace of doubling.
Diversification of Computing: The traditional "Moore's Law" focus on increasing transistor count no longer represented the full scope of computing advancements. Other aspects, such as multi-core processors, specialized accelerators (e.g., GPUs, TPUs), and improvements in software, became equally important.
Given these limitations, a "revised law of doubling" might take into account the evolving landscape of semiconductor technology and the need for more nuanced metrics for measuring progress in the industry.

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