Class 17: Random Means Unpredictable - To You!

Lesson 17: Random Means Unpredictable - To You!

Random only means unpredictablem, given the evidence/premises/model YOU assume. If you know the complete causes and conditions, then you will know whether the proposition of interest is true or false. You will not be uncertain.

Random is therefore only another way to say uncertain.

See the audience participation lecture of a true random event:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K_zL6TTDk4k

HOMEWORK: Read Jaynes Chaper 3, Section 3.8.

All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/52506/
https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf

Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science