Class 20: Probability Is Not Limiting Relative Frequency

Lesson 20: Probability Is NOT Limiting Relative Frequency

Some say probability of some observable event A is defined as the limit as n goes to INFINITY of n(A)/n. But this means we must always wait an infinite time to know any probability. Even weirder, any finite sequence we observe may have any and completely different than the limit. People claim they're frequentists, but nobody sticks to it.

HOMEWORK: Read Uncertainty Chapter 5 excerpt.

All questions will be answered in the following Monday's lecture.

Written lecture:
https://www.wmbriggs.com/post/52962/
https://wmbriggs.substack.com/p/148114398

Jaynes's book (first part): https://bayes.wustl.edu/etj/prob/book.pdf

Permanent class page: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science