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Deep Dive Intel Briefing: What We Learned This Week & More
Jan 11, 2025
Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
President Biden's Statements: The speaker critiques Biden's recent remarks on the Russia-Ukraine war, claiming they are detached from reality and reflect an unwillingness to acknowledge Ukraine's inability to prevail militarily. Biden emphasized unity among Western nations and pledged continued support for Ukraine.
Ukraine's Prospects: The speaker argues that Ukraine cannot win the war and faces inevitable defeat without a negotiated settlement. They criticize Western nations, particularly the Biden administration, for missed opportunities to prevent or end the war, resulting in significant loss of life and destruction.
Russia's Strategy: A former British citizen fighting for Russia claims the conflict is about defending ethnic Russians in Ukraine and resisting NATO's influence, not territorial conquest. The speaker asserts that Russia's actions align with its stated goals of securing specific regions in Ukraine, with no evidence of broader ambitions.
Sanctions and Negotiations: White House spokesperson John Kirby states that U.S. sanctions on Russia are not bargaining tools and there are no signs either side is ready to negotiate. The speaker views this as a failure of diplomacy, prolonging the war and increasing casualties.
Military Balance: The speaker argues that Russia has the military advantage and resources to achieve its objectives. They suggest Russia might aim to secure territory up to the Dnipro River, depending on Ukraine's resistance and international negotiations.
Historical Context: The speaker attributes the conflict's origins to Western intervention in Ukraine and policies since 2014, suggesting that the war was avoidable had different diplomatic approaches been taken.
The overall tone is critical of U.S. and Western policies, emphasizing the human and societal costs of the war on Ukraine while highlighting Russia's perceived strategic advantage.
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