The Prospects For A Peace Deal

Alexander Bedritskiy – Director of the Tavria's Centre for Information and Analyses, PhD in Political Studies joins me for a wide-ranging discussion on several important topics.

I would like to highlight a few basic conditions under which the meeting of the Big Three took place in Yalta.
First of all, it was a winners' conference.

Secondly, the contradictions that objectively existed between them, but were offset by common interests and tasks in the war, would inevitably arise in the future. And the parties understood this perfectly well.

Thirdly, the conference discussed the principles of a sustainable future world order, many of the elements of which have been preserved, albeit in a low-functioning form, to the present day.

Fourthly, it is obvious that these were negotiations between people who perfectly understood the value of war and peace.
None of the above conditions seem to apply to the current situation. Negotiations, if they take place, will be conducted between the opponents.

The contradictions between Russia and the West as the main opponent are not limited to Ukraine, and common interests have degraded to almost zero. The views on the future world order are almost diametrically different. For the West, the war is being waged on foreign territory and, despite the obvious economic costs, it does not yet pose a direct military danger.

Russia's goals: demilitarization, denazification, neutrality...explain each

The Goals of the USA and West - Strategic defeat of Russia

We are talking about developing new principles of European security. The Russian position on this issue was formulated and announced in December 2021 in the initiatives to provide security guarantees and in the draft agreement on security measures between Russia and NATO countries. It is quite obvious that the West's refusal to discuss them had a direct impact on the decision to start a military conflict, which means that achieving them is also the goal of ending the conflict.

In summary, we can say that the prospects for finding a compromise and developing sustainable principles for a new world order are not yet visible. Each side is implementing its own project, and their viability will continue to be determined by the course of the confrontation.

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Alexander Bedritskiy – Director of the Tavria's Centre for Information and Analyses, PhD in Political Studies.

Professional interests: US-Russian relations, electoral politics, information warfare.

He has two international certificates of the advanced training program in the field of election management issued by the World Association of Electoral Bodies (A-WEB in Seoul in 2014 and 2018.

From 2005 to the present, he has participated in more than 40 OSCE/ODIHR observation missions in Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Moldova, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Mongolia, the United States of America, and Serbia as a short-term and long-term observer.

In 2003, he participated in PIR-Center's advanced training program on global security issues. Lecturer at PIR-Center Schools on Global Security in 2011 and 2014.

In 2006, as a member of a group of experts, he participated in the program "Nonproliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction", during which he discussed these issues in leading research centers and government agencies of the United States (Washington, San Francisco, Monterrey, New York).