Deep Dive Video Update for March 3-7 2025

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Summary of the Deep Dive Update" for Monday, March 3rd, 2025:
This newsletter is a weekly deep dive into market trends, featuring unique informational charts and recurring charts from daily videos. It aims to provide deeper insights into market conditions.
Key points:
The VIX (fear gauge) remains in a lower range, indicating a positive market environment despite recent pressure and lost momentum in 2025. No significant long-term shift to a higher range is observed.
The VIX correlation with S&P 500 and VVIX (volatility of VIX) show no significant insights currently, with flatlined movement despite recent declines.
Stock and bond volatility (VIX vs. MOVE index) is picking up slightly but lacks strong conviction.
The S&P 500 is up over 70% from the October 2022 low and 45% from October 2023 low, despite recent declines.
Weekly technical alerts show a mix of negative (red) and positive (green/blue) signals, with a bounce on Friday but a deterioration throughout the week.
Technical Scores:
Six indexes are ranked on a 0-100 scale based on technical indicators:
Dow: 76.9 (best, holding up well)
SPY (S&P 500): 67.3
QQQ (NASDAQ 100): 49.8 (under pressure)
NASDAQ Composite: 38.8 (falling)
Mid-caps: 20.4
IWM (small caps): 11.4 (weak, affected by rising interest rates)
Additional Observations:
The Short-term trend (rainbow of 10-50 period moving averages) turned negative, dropping below the rainbow. The intermediate-term trend (50-100 periods) is vulnerable, falling below the 50-day moving average.
The Advance-Decline Ratio (price + volume) remains slightly positive. The S&P distance from its 200-day moving average is under 3%, still holding above it (long-term trend positive).
The recent pullback from the all-time highs is ~5%, within normal volatility. The Momentum Oscillators and the Mass Index show no extreme signals.
The Anchored Moving Averages indicate support at last August's low, with potential for a bounce or further negativity if broken.
The Financial Sector and Banks are holding up, with regional banks underperforming but not collapsing despite rising interest rates.
The long-term rate of change and bond ratios (cash vs. 3-7 year, TIPS vs. bonds) suggest slowing momentum and subsiding inflation fears, though concerns persist.
European stocks (Eurozone ETF) have shown strength in 2025 compared to U.S. stocks.
The percent of S&P stocks above 50-day and 200-day moving averages are above 50 (positive), while mid-caps (38) and small caps (31.33) are well below, indicating weakness.
Conclusion:
Current market conditions are showing a mix of resilience and emerging weaknesses, particularly in smaller stocks.
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DISCLAIMER This video is for entertainment purposes only. I am not a financial adviser, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky!