The Math Behind Bitcoin's Predictable Price Growth & Monetary Base Analysis - Matthew Mezinskis

Matthew Mezinskis joins Marty Bent to analyze Bitcoin's price trajectory using power curve mathematics rather than exponential models. With data showing 96% correlation to power growth versus 86% for exponential patterns, they explore why Bitcoin doubles with each 12.7% increase in network time. The discussion covers monetary base analysis, global liquidity trends, repo market concerns, and Trump's strategic Bitcoin reserve executive order. Matthew projects Bitcoin at $125,000 by end-2025 using his power curve model, which has remained consistent since 2016 unlike other prediction methods.

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0:00 - Intro
0:41 - SBR
10:06 - Self custody
20:50 - Fold & Bitkey
22:32 - Bitcoin % of monetary base
27:59 - Good ol' power trendline
34:30 - Unchained announcement
35:01 - Adoption S curve is misleading
52:55 - Fun with charts
56:51 - Monetary base growth comparison
1:00:51 - How the power curve reflects psychology
1:05:09 - Exponential decay
1:12:22 - Monetary base, repo markets and Luongo theory
1:31:42 - Money market funds
1:41:20 - Bitcoin price models

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