Class 43: The Causal Path

Causal models are rare: nearly every model is correlational. All scientists forget that correlation does not imply causation when it is their correlation. Any change to a model creates a new model.

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Jaynes's book:
http://www.med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/
JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

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