Ukraine Launches New Attack into Russia - Harming Itself

March 19, 2025
Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
The presentation discusses recent developments in the Russia-Ukraine war, focusing on Ukraine’s incursion into Russia’s Belgorod region. The speaker argues that Ukraine’s repeated military decisions prioritize media attention over sound operational strategy, ultimately benefiting Russia. The key points include:

Ukrainian Incursion into Belgorod: Ukraine has launched a cross-border operation into Russia’s Belgorod province, similar to past offensives, in an attempt to relieve pressure on other fronts, such as the Kharkiv region.

Criticism of Ukrainian Strategy: The speaker claims Ukraine consistently makes poor tactical decisions, focusing on short-term media gains rather than effective military strategy. These actions allegedly weaken Ukraine’s position and inadvertently help Russia.

Ceasefire Negotiations: The U.S. and Ukraine recently agreed to a 30-day ceasefire proposal, which was presented to Russia. While a full ceasefire was not accepted, Putin agreed to a temporary halt in attacks on energy infrastructure.

Potential Russian Offensive: Zelensky has warned of a Russian troop buildup near the Sumy region, aligning with Putin’s previous public statements about securing a buffer zone along Russia’s border.

Historical Context of Ukrainian Mistakes: The speaker cites past battles, such as Mariupol, as examples of Ukraine’s tendency to hold positions too long, leading to unnecessary losses. The argument is that Ukraine fails to conduct strategic withdrawals and instead fights in ways that maximize casualties.

Long-Term Outlook: The speaker suggests that Ukraine’s poor decision-making has contributed to its weakening position in the war, making Russian victory more likely.

The presentation is highly critical of Ukraine’s approach, suggesting that its military and political leaders have prioritized Western media narratives over effective warfare, leading to strategic failures.