S&P 500 Weekly Update for March 24-28, 2025

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Summary of the Weekly Update discussing the market action for the week of March 17th through 21st, 2025, and the outlook for March 24th through 28th:
The market experienced a slight up week, ending a four-week losing streak, with the S&P gaining 0.51% and the NASDAQ up 0.2%. Despite this positive note, the market faces overhead resistance and mixed signals, leading to a cautious approach with short-term strategies while maintaining longer-term positions with protective measures such as covered calls and puts.
Interest rates slightly declined from Friday to Friday, but concerns persist about inflation, which has been sticky and not decreasing as desired by the Fed. Economic reports have mostly been weaker than expected, corporate earnings forecasts are less robust, and geopolitical tensions (e.g., Russia-Ukraine, Israel) add uncertainty. The Fed met and decided to keep rates at 4.25-4.5%, while adjusting their balance sheet runoff from $25 billion to $5 billion starting April 1st. Their economic projections lowered GDP growth and raised inflation expectations, with Fed Chair Powell emphasizing caution due to uncertainties such as tariffs.
The S&P 500 trends are turning more negative in the short and intermediate terms, though the equal-weight S&P outperformed the standard S&P 500 (0.7% vs. 0.5%), suggesting broader participation beyond mega-cap stocks and a shift toward value stocks. Defensive sectors such as energy and healthcare performed well, while tech and discretionary sectors showed weakness. Volatility (VIX) is expected to decline after April 2nd, reflecting hopes for reduced trade-related uncertainty.
Overall, the market is grappling with inflation fears, potential recession risks, and geopolitical instability, with mixed economic signals and a cautious Fed stance shaping a complex outlook for the coming weeks.

PDF of Charts and Slides used in today's video:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1pWij7VJEhdQeG1BhtxiGgivHTnjxCtu5/view?usp=sharing

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DISCLAIMER This video is for entertainment purposes only. I am not a financial adviser, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky!