Class 44: What Causes Cancer Of The Albondigas

5 people out of 1,000 not exposed to PM2.5 got cancer of the albondigas; 15 out of 1,000 exposed to PM2.5 got it. Does PM2.5 cause cancer? What caused the 5 in the not-exposed group? How many of the 15 were caused by something else? Then comes the extra banana. Watch!

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Jaynes's book:
http://www.med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/
JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

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