Kupyansk Frontline Heats Up: Analysis of the Oskil Offensive (Feb–March 2025)

In-depth analysis from Rybar highlights the intensifying battles on the western bank of the Oskil River as Russian forces push toward Kupyansk — a key city lost in the fall of 2022.

After over a year of static lines, the Kupyansk direction has erupted in large-scale engagements.

Key developments include:

• A February offensive toward Figolevka–Topoli to secure a bridgehead.

• Fierce clashes near Dvurechnaya and efforts to control the R-79 highway.

• A Ukrainian counteroffensive in March briefly recaptures Figolevka.

• Russian forces cross the Oskil near Kamenka and liberate Krasnoye 1 by March 31.

• Dvurechnaya sees back-and-forth fighting, culminating in Russian control by late March.

• New offensives begin in Malya Shapkivka and Kondrashivka as battles for the R-79 intensify.

• Southern flank skirmishes near Stepova Novoselovka and Kolesnikovka add to the pressure.

With the Moscow Military District shifting its strategy to widen the Oskil bridgehead, Kupyansk’s recapture is seen as pivotal for future advances in eastern Kharkiv Oblast.

This video unpacks the timeline, tactical shifts, and strategic stakes of the ongoing operations.