Excess deaths 2025

Excess mortality: Deaths from all causes compared to
average over previous years

https://bmjpublichealth.bmj.com/content/2/1/e000282

1 January 2020 until 31 December 2022

47 countries of the Western World, 3, 098, 456

Excess mortality

2021, 42 countries

2022, 43 countries

Conclusions

Excess mortality has remained high in the Western World for three consecutive years

This raises serious concerns.

Government leaders and policymakers need to thoroughly investigate underlying causes of persistent excess mortality.

2015–2019 compared to 2020–2024

Percentage difference between the reported weekly or monthly deaths in 2020–2024 and the average deaths in the same period in 2015–2019

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-average-baseline

Correlation and causality

Smoking is correlated with lung cancer

Asbestos exposure is correlated with mesothelioma

Alcohol consumption is associated with liver cirrhosis

Obesity is correlated with high sugar intake

Radiation exposure is correlated with cancer

Dioxin exposure is correlated with cancer

Causality may be adjudicated by larger scale associations, consistent between countries, where other explanations are unlikely, where effect follows cause, where greater exposure causes more harm with a plausible biological mechanism with coherence between bench science and epidemiological data supported by (even limited) experimentation. By analogy to other causes of harm and sometimes by reversibility.

https://drjohncampbell.co.uk/