They Don't Know! How Effective Bunker Buster Bombs Were or Weren't /Lt Col Daniel Davis

Jun 26, 2025
Daniel Davis / Deep Dive
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In this critical analysis of the Pentagon briefing, the speaker highlights glaring contradictions and concerns about the Biden administration’s confidence in the success of recent U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and General Kaine claimed the sites were “completely obliterated” using the GBU-57 bunker buster bombs — but also admitted there is no physical evidence to support that claim.

Key Points:
Public Confidence vs. Unknown Results:
Officials confidently declared all three Iranian nuclear sites were destroyed. Yet, Secretary Hegseth openly admitted no one actually knows what happened underground — no inspections, no post-strike data, and no confirmation from anyone, including the Iranians, Israelis, or IAEA. The demand to “trust us” is not backed by physical proof.

“Trust the Modeling”:
General Kaine presented visual charts, test footage, and claimed extensive simulations prove success. However, the analysis reveals this is all theoretical — based on ideal test conditions, not the real, hardened, and possibly redesigned layout of Fordo or other Iranian facilities.

No Hard Evidence:
The only available proof is simulations, planning diagrams, and a test video — not actual post-strike imagery or verification. The speaker emphasizes that assuming total destruction without evidence is misleading.

Intelligence Doubts:
Multiple D.C.-based military experts consulted by the speaker are not convinced by the Pentagon’s claims. They see the logic behind the bombs, but doubt the Iranian targets were so conveniently vulnerable.

Critique of Facility Targeting Logic:
The example shown of a clean, vertical shaft is dismissed as unrealistic. The speaker argues that no intelligent adversary (especially not Iran) would build a nuclear facility so easy to target. Real defenses would include angular shafts, hidden mission spaces, and redundant architecture — much harder to hit from the air.

Security Concern:
The speaker questions the wisdom of publicly disclosing detailed strike plans and bomb mechanisms, which could help adversaries redesign future facilities to withstand similar attacks.

Underlying Message:
The U.S. government is overconfidently claiming victory based on modeling and best-case assumptions, not facts. This strategy may backfire by fueling more skepticism, not reassurance.

Bottom Line:
The U.S. claims of “total obliteration” are based on simulations and guesswork, not ground-truth verification. Experts and observers remain deeply skeptical, and the lack of transparency and hard data raises more questions than it answers.
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