AUC3I Daily Briefing 07-05-2025 On the WAR in Ukraine

Understanding The War In Europe _ Analyzing the situation on the ground with by way of an introduction, 3 points, and a conclusion#militaryoperations #modernwarfare #militaryanalysis

COMBAT BRIEFING NUMBER 1229
SITUATION REPORT — 5 JUL 2025
"Compiled for strategic reference; all figures reflect Russian MoD claims."

### 1. Battlefield Overview

Russian forces continue multi-front offensive operations. Ground elements made incremental advances in Sumy, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Zaporizhia, and Kherson while long-range fires targeted Ukrainian air-defence and UAV infrastructure. Claimed Ukrainian losses for the day exceed 1,270 personnel and 20+ combat platforms.

### 2. Front-Line Activity

"North Group (Sumy):" Improved forward line around Khrapovshchina–Sadki axis, eliminating an estimated 210 Ukrainian troops, three AFVs, and five artillery pieces; three ammunition sites destroyed.
"West Group (Kharkiv):" Engagements near Kupyansk and Berezovka degraded two mechanised and two TD brigades; 230 losses, eight vehicles, AN/TPQ-50 counter-battery radar and three EW nodes destroyed.
"South Group (Donetsk):" Tactical gains near Chasiv Yar and Seversk; ~140 personnel neutralised along with a Croatian RAK-SA-12 MLRS, an EW station, and a supply dump.
"Center Group (Donetsk/Dnipropetrovsk):" Secured more advantageous positions from Rodynskoye to Novopavlovka; Ukrainian casualties reported at 440 with loss of a "Grad" MLRS, five AFVs and multiple artillery systems.
"East Group (Donetsk/Zaporizhia):" Advanced toward Kamyshevakha–Temirovka line, inflicting 155 personnel losses and destroying three AFVs.
"Dnepr Group (Zaporizhia/Kherson):" Actions around Mala Tokmachka and Antonovka reduced Ukrainian strength by 90; six EW stations, three ammo depots and a materiel warehouse eliminated.

### 3. Deep-Strike & Air Defence Results

Operational-tactical aviation, missiles, artillery and UAVs struck 152 targets, including two Patriot launchers with AN/MPQ-65 radars, air-field logistics nodes, and UAV assembly sites. Air-defence units intercepted a HIMARS rocket, a "Neptune" missile, three glide bombs, and 371 UAVs.

### 4. Cumulative Totals (24 FEB 2022 – 5 JUL 2025)

Destroyed: 663 aircraft, 283 helicopters, 67 349 UAVs, 614 SAM systems, 24 137 tanks/AFVs, 1 575 MLRS vehicles, 26 993 artillery/mortars, 37 677 special vehicles.

### 5. Operational Analysis & Implications

"Attrition-Centric Approach:" Claimed personnel losses across six operational groups indicate continued pursuit of an exhaustion strategy, steadily wearing down Ukrainian mechanised and EW capabilities while avoiding large-scale breakthrough attempts.

"Counter-Battery & EW Supremacy:" Systematic destruction of AN/TPQ-50 radar, Patriot components and six EW sites highlights a drive to blind Ukrainian artillery and drone networks, paving the way for gradual territorial encroachment.

"Logistics Disruption:" Strikes on ammo depots, fuel points and UAV workshops aim to choke Ukrainian replenishment cycles; effectiveness will hinge on Kyiv’s ability to reroute Western supply corridors and disperse production.

"Defensive Elasticity:" Ukrainian forces are ceding tactical ground yet maintaining coherent brigades across multiple sectors, suggesting a calculated trade-space strategy that prioritises force preservation over holding minor settlements.

"Short-Term Outlook:" Expect continued Russian micro-advances paired with precision fires on air-defence and UAV hubs. If Patriot and HIMARS inventories dwindle, Russian aviation could assume greater operational latitude, accelerating pressure on Donetsk’s western defensive belt through August.

### 6. Analyst’s Note

The pattern—deep-strike shaping, EW suppression, and stepwise ground gains—aligns with previous Russian operational doctrine and should inform NATO logistics planning and Ukrainian reserve commitment decisions.

#UkraineWar #RussianOffensive #SumyFront #KharkivSector #DonetskBattles #MilitaryAnalysis #OperationalUpdate #EWwarfare #PatriotSystem #HIMARS #StrategicBriefing