Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The World

A lady says she has the ability to identify whether tea or milk is poured in a cup first. What does "have the ability mean?" and why is it so hard to figure probabilities for it?

Written lecture: https://www.wmbriggs.com/class/ https://wmbriggs.substack.com/

Jaynes's book:
http://www.med.mcgill.ca/epidemiology/hanley/bios601/GaussianModel/
JaynesProbabilityTheory.pdf

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science

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