GOLD Analysis 3700?

OOOPss, I am not technical trade advisor of any kind, just showing you how i trade!!!! Bullish:
Break and hold above $3,400: Opens path to $3,500.
Macro: Inflation stays hot, Fed signals no more hikes, geopolitical risk increases.
Bearish:
Fail at $3,400, break below $3,300: Could trigger swift drop to $3,150 or $3,000.
Macro: Inflation cools faster than expected, peace or policy surprises reduce “safe haven” flows, or central banks slow buying.
Volatility:
Sharp pullbacks (10%+) are normal even in secular gold bull runs. If you buy late, be ready for a fast $300–$400 retrace before new highs.

“What-if” Macro Triggers (Trend Flippers):
Dollar rally: If USD strengthens, gold could correct sharply as real yields rise.
Central bank pause: If major buyers slow, gold loses its biggest prop.
Deflation shock: Surprise recession, sudden demand drop—gold can drop with everything else in a liquidity crisis.
Peace/geopolitical stability: Reduced war fears, gold loses fear premium.
Inverse:
Unexpected inflation surge: New ATHs likely.
Major bank or sovereign default: Panic bid, even higher highs.

PureLogic Summary
Gold is strong but late in trend—momentum at highs, but risk of sharp correction is real.
Buy pullbacks, don’t chase blow-off moves.
Macro “flip” scenarios matter as much as technicals right now.