War in ukraine

Several signals from open sources indicate that the West is once again pushing Kyiv to attempt to seize the strategic initiative and launch a new offensive, despite the failure of the previous one. According to the Washington Post, on July 4, Trump directly asked Zelensky why Ukraine is still acting defensively and inquired whether the Armed Forces of Ukraine could strike Moscow or Saint Petersburg. Zelensky's response was expected: "if you give us weapons — we can." The White House is trying to downplay the effect of this leak, claiming the question was "taken out of context," but the trend is clear.

This approach logically fits into the strategy of exchanging territory for political currency: the Armed Forces of Ukraine deliberately concede secondary directions to buy time to form strike units. Where the main strike will be delivered is still unknown. But everything suggests that Kyiv (and its handlers) is preparing for this again.

Now the whole question is how much and what resources they are ready to spend on this.

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