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NEW Polls show Democrats May NEVER WIN ANOTHER ELECTION, especially due to this group of Voters!
Since 2012, Republicans have made notable gains with Hispanic voters. Here’s a breakdown of the trends based on available data:
• 2012 Presidential Election: Barack Obama won 71% of the Latino vote, while Mitt Romney secured 27%, a 44-point Democratic margin.
• 2016 Presidential Election: Hillary Clinton captured 65% of the Latino vote, with Donald Trump gaining 29%, reducing the Democratic margin to 36 points. This shows a slight Republican uptick compared to 2012.
• 2020 Presidential Election: Joe Biden won 59-65% of the Latino vote, while Trump improved to 32-33%, narrowing the Democratic lead to around 26-33 points. Trump’s gains were particularly strong in areas like South Texas and Florida, driven by economic concerns and immigration issues.
• 2022 Midterm Elections: Republicans won 39% of the Latino vote, up from 25% in 2018, a 14-point increase. This shift was partly due to lower Democratic turnout rather than a massive party switch.
• 2024 Presidential Election: Exit polls indicate Trump achieved a record 42-48% of the Latino vote, with Kamala Harris securing 46-56%. This reflects a significant Republican gain, with a Democratic margin as low as 8-14 points. Trump’s support among Latino men reached 47-55%, and he made double-digit gains in Hispanic-majority counties in Texas and Florida.
Key Factors:
• Economic Concerns: Hispanic voters, especially younger and working-class individuals, prioritized economic issues, aligning with Republican messaging on jobs and taxes.
• Cultural and Religious Values: Catholic and Growing evangelicalism among Latinos has driven some toward conservative values, boosting Republican support.
• Turnout and Persuadable Voters: Latinos, particularly younger voters, are less tied to party loyalty, with 52% identifying as independents in 2021. This makes them more persuadable, benefiting Republicans in recent cycles.
• Regional Shifts: Significant Republican gains occurred in states like Florida, Texas, and Arizona, with specific districts showing swings of 14-40 points toward the GOP since 2016.
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