Citadel Summer Episode 51: The Full Flower

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Nikolai Kondratieff was a Soviet economist who studied economic cycles in capitalist economies. His concept of K-Wave is useful lens for studying the adoption of new technologies. He broke the waves into four parts corresponding to the seasons. Spring - where the new technology is introduced, Summer - where the technology expands and grows, Autumn - the technology saturates the market, Winter - the end of the cycle. Reduced activity. Declining investment. Bitcoin and AI are the key technologies of this wave. They're both entering the summer phase of the wave. Combined with small modular nuclear reactors these technologies will usher in a golden age. Build your citadel.

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