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Shocking Proof: This Simple Keltner Channel Trading Strategy With 200 EMA Filter Made Me a Fortune!
Keltner Channels provide a powerful framework for identifying trend and potential price reversals. These channels, typically plotted around a moving average, use the Average True Range (ATR) to define the upper and lower bands. When a security's price consistently trades above the upper band, it signals a strong bullish trend. Conversely, a prolonged presence below the lower band indicates a bearish trend. Traders often use these channels as a basis for trend-following strategies, entering long positions on breakouts above the upper band or short positions on breakdowns below the lower band. Furthermore, a price "over-extension" beyond the channels can be a signal of a potential short-term reversal back towards the moving average, a strategy often called "mean reversion."
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The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) serves as a critical long-term trend filter, providing a broader context for Keltner Channel signals. When the price is consistently trading above the 200 EMA, the overall market bias is considered bullish, making any long signals generated by the Keltner Channels more reliable. Conversely, when the price is below the 200 EMA, a bearish bias is assumed, and traders may choose to focus on shorting opportunities. By combining the 200 EMA with Keltner Channels, traders can avoid "fighting the trend." For example, a mean-reversion signal from the Keltner Channels to the downside when the price is above the 200 EMA might be ignored, as the overall trend is still bullish.
To add a layer of confirmation and timing to Keltner Channel and 200 EMA signals, the Stochastic Oscillator is often employed. The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator that compares a particular closing price to a range of its prices over a certain period. Readings above 80 indicate an overbought condition, while readings below 20 suggest an oversold condition. A common trading strategy involves looking for a buy signal from the Keltner Channels and 200 EMA combination (e.g., price breaking above the upper band while above the 200 EMA) and then waiting for the Stochastic Oscillator to cross above 20 from an oversold state. This helps to time the entry precisely, ensuring that momentum is shifting in the desired direction. The inverse logic applies to short trades, where traders would seek a sell signal from the other two indicators and then wait for the Stochastic Oscillator to cross below 80 from an overbought state.
📌 Indicator Settings:
Keltner Channel
EMA Period: 30
ATR Period: 15
Multiplier: 2
Stochastic Oscillator
%K: 14
%D: 3
Smoothing: 3
Levels: 80 (Overbought), 20 (Oversold)
EMA 200
Color: White (Trend Filter)
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Money Management:
It is important to follow up with this strict rule of investment:
If you have $100 in your account, each open position should be $5 tops
If you have $200 in your account, each open position should be $10 tops
If you have $500 in your account, each open position should be $25 tops
If you have $1,000 in your account, each open position should be $50 tops
If you have $2,000 in your account, each open position should be $100 tops
If you have $5,000 in your account, each open position should be $250 tops
We're currently in our 13th year helping traders become successful in the live markets so we know a thing or two about leveraging a small account into serious wins.
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading options involves financial risk and may not be appropriate for all investors. The information presented here is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Any trading decisions that you make are solely your responsibility. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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