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Stock Valuations Are The Most Deviated They've Ever Been In History | Lance Roberts
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Stock valuations are the most deviated they've ever been from long-term trendlines in history.
Above even 1929.
But Wall Street doesn't care. The bull rally marches on, and looks poised to continue through the end of the year.
But how long can this record deviation sustain?
And what will the repercussions be if it doesn't?
Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss these key questions, as well as this week's Federal Reserve rate cut, the end of QT, the China-US trade talks, oil stocks, and Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.
For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.
#marketcorrection #interestrates #artificalintelligence
0:00 – Fed Cuts 25bps & Ends QT: Expected, But Powell Pushes Back on More Cuts
2:39 – QT/QE Mechanics Explained: No Money Printing, Just Bank Asset Swaps
4:02 – Fed Dumps MBS for Treasuries: Stabilizes Yields, New Buyer in Debt Market
7:13 – Fed Steps Back as Treasury Buyer: Material Impact? Opens Door to QE
9:40 – Fed Balance Sheet Stress: Can't Shrink More Without Credit Risks
11:25 – Fed's Crisis Bailouts Train "Buy the Dip": Best Returns in 30 Years
12:24 – Economy Can't Normalize: Needs Deep Recession/Depression for Health
13:21 – Debt Reform Choices: Small Sacrifices Now or Systemic Crash Later
15:19 – No Imminent Breakdown: Debt-to-GDP Fine vs Japan/Europe
18:44 – Market Breadth Crashes: Worst Since 1990 Despite Rally
20:03 – Mag 7 Dominance: K-Shaped Profits, Rest of S&P 493 Starving
21:05 – AI Hype Unhealthy? NO – Passive Flows Fuel Narrow Rally
25:27 – AI: Job Killer or Tool? Power Crunch for Data Centers Looms
29:01 – AI Bubble Risks: Overbuild Like Railroads/Internet, But Chips Depreciate Fast
38:58 – If AI Bursts: S&P Down 40%, Still Bull Market (Valuations Insane)
46:09 – Earnings Season Stellar: 85% Beats, Low Bar Set by Analysts
52:49 – Portfolio Strategy: Rotate to Oversold Defensives (Value, Energy, Staples)
1:09:12 – TA Update: Bull Intact, Year-End Rally on Buybacks/Seasonality
1:24:26 – Gov Shutdown Irrelevant + Welfare Reform: End Dependency, Add Work Rules
_____________________________________________
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