Deep Dive Update for Monday November 17, 2025

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Summary of Deep Dive Video Update for Monday, Nov 17, 2025:
Overview: Weekly in-depth chart review complementing daily videos.
Volatility (VIX): Long-term VIX range: Still in lower (bullish) zone despite dancing above 20 Thu/Fri; gradual uptick but no alarm.
VIX MACD: Flatlining for months, slight upward momentum emerging—watch for acceleration.
VIX short-term RSI: Neutral (50); only flags if above 70 or below 30.
VIX/SPX correlation: Neutral after August spike; below key threshold.
VVIX/VIX ratio: Picking up (VIX volatility rising)—mild concern, long-term view.
SKU Index (OTM options): No red flags; ignored unless in red zone.
Market Internals & Breadth:
Advance/Decline lines: Sideways; S&P slightly disconnecting from NYSE A/D (defensive tilt).
Common stocks only (NYSE): Price drifting down, volume hit ATH then retreated.
Highs/Lows (10-day avg): Improving slowly (above 50 = positive).
Broad market 5-day H/L: Rebounding from weakness.
Technical alerts: Mon/Tue green → Wed neutral → Thu/Fri heavy red.
Percent of stocks above 200DMA (SPX): Still above 50% = bullish; shorter MAs (under 50) weaker.
Sector & Style Rotation:
Large vs Small Cap ratio: Rising (large caps outperforming); small caps hurt by hawkish Fed (Dec cut odds 50/50).
Growth/Value: Shifting toward value since summer; picked up last week.
Financials: Underperforming S&P; regional banks weaker & ARK FinTech ratio breaking 200DMA support.
Semiconductors: Providing support—break = bearish.
Retail: Near 200DMA, ratio vs S&P rolling over.
Discretionary/Staples: Both declining (weighted outperforming equal-weight due to TSLA/AMZN).
Transports: Failed breakout, sideways.
Energy: Defensive, sideways vs bonds.
Trend & Momentum:
50-day MA: Tested successfully Fri (Nov 14); hold = bullish, break = bearish.
Short-term rainbow (10-50): Inside, below 10/20, testing 50—watch for breakout or rollover.
Intermediate rainbow (50-100): Top end, lines smooth/up—still positive.
Long-term rainbow (50-250): Above top band = uptrend intact.
Percent above 200DMA: Dropped below 10% (was overbought signal); now neutral.
Boom Indicator: Neutral near MAs.
Landry Lite: Trend paused post-May uptrend; recalculating.
Bollinger Bands: Closed below midpoint (mild negative); no extremes.
Ichimoku: Touched cloud top Fri, closed above; green line rolling but blue above red.
Index Technical Scores (0-100): NASDAQ Comp (1Q): 88.5 → strongest. NASDAQ 100 (QQQ): 84.6. S&P 500: 77.8. Dow: 70.9 (ATH Wed, pulled back). Small Caps: 61.6 ↓ (Fed pivot). Mid-Caps: Weakest (long-term laggard).
Global & Macro:
US/Intl ratio: Range-bound.
US vs Germany (DAX): Neutral correlation; US briefly led post-April.
10yr Yield Spread (US-DE) vs USD: Decoupling—shift underway.
Inflation gauges: All declining/sideways → no market concern.
Value Line Geometric: Lower highs since 2021—long-term divergence vs cap-weighted indices.
Key Watch Points:
50-day MA defense (all major indices).
Small caps & financials weakness if Fed stays hawkish.
Semiconductor support—break = risk-off.
10% drawdown from ATH → smart money entry zone (2023/2024 precedent).
Conclusion:
Intermediate/long-term trends still positive; short-term pressure testing 50DMA. Pullback looks corrective unless key supports break. No panic, but defensive shift underway.

PDF of Slides:
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1XiJyWTCAk6q8z8LytOjnxHkhYy_gsigh/view?usp=sharing

DISCLAIMER This video is for entertainment purposes only. I am not a financial adviser, and you should do your own research and go through your own thought process before investing in a position. Trading is risky!