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This Is Why #Republicans Are Set To Lose The #Midterms #News
Polymarket's post highlights a sharp rise in prediction market odds to 80% for Democrats regaining House control in the 2026 midterms, up from 70% in November, based on $694,000 in trading volume reflecting bettor consensus.
The surge aligns with recent Republican challenges, including President Trump's declining approval ratings among independents and suburban voters, as reported by Brookings Institution analysis on December 4, 2025, and a wave of GOP congressional retirements amid legislative dysfunction.
Prediction markets like Polymarket often outperform traditional polls by incorporating real-money stakes, providing early signals of voter sentiment; however, odds can fluctuate with events like ongoing redistricting battles, such as the Supreme Court's December 5 approval of Texas's GOP-favorable map.
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