Is Russia Ready for Peace?

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When I asked Latvia’s foreign minister Baiba Braže about the chances for a peace agreement in Ukraine, she told me that she travelled four times to Ukraine in the 18 months since her appointment as Latvia’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, and this is what she’s concluded:

“I speak everywhere, not only to the officials, but also to the soldiers, to the private sector, to people in the shops and elsewhere and nowhere I have felt that they want capitulation or that they are ready to give up territories. Obviously, we also are realists…and realize that to achieve a ceasefire, you need to freeze the front at a certain point.

…Ukrainians have their will and agency, and I don't think they will accept something that is imposed on them, so they have to own that peace and ceasefire.”

And is Russia ready for peace? She doesn’t think so: “We don't see a single instrument of power in Russia that would be oriented towards peace. It's all about war.”

“In our calculation, it's the pressure on Russia that needs to be increased for them to feel more pain to actually come to the table seriously,” she says.