Venezuela’s Power Flip

A fortress door half-closed, a city’s radar gone dark, and a head of state in cuffs by midday. That’s how our Monday began—and from there, the real story started: not boots on the ground, but hands on the oil valve. We walk through the covert capture of Nicolás Maduro and why the aftermath is the strategy. Control the tankers and court-ordered seizures, and you control the incentives of every ministry and general in Caracas without toppling trash pickup, payroll, or airports.

We dig into why Venezuela’s outsized resource base makes it a hinge for Latin America and a proxy for China, Iran, and Russia. The narco-state playbook—diplomatic jets, laundered oil, sanctioned banks—only functions when the oil flows. By decapitating the regime and leaving the bureaucracy in place, Washington traded occupation for leverage. Western refiners need heavy crude; Western firms will line up when contracts are clean. That funnel could revive a shattered economy while starving the trafficking networks that push fentanyl and gangs toward our borders.

There’s friction on both flanks. Some on the right point to Venezuela’s bans on abortion and pornography as if virtue cancels violence. Some on the left blame sanctions as if plunder never happened. We cut through the noise: social policy doesn’t absolve starvation, and ideology doesn’t pump fuel. More provocative still are the claims that Venezuelan-born software helped rig votes abroad. With Maduro in custody, does that web unravel or vanish behind sealed filings? Either way, the signal landed in Havana and Tehran: distance won’t save you when our interests are at stake.

What comes next isn’t instant democracy. It’s continuity without complicity: the same desks doing the work, but under new incentives. Oil revenues reopen, court orders steer tankers, streets calm, and then real elections can mean something. That’s the difference between spectacle and statecraft—using the structure of institutions and the pressure of markets to make a failed state govern again. If you want a clear, sober breakdown of the raid, the oil math, the regional fallout, and the realistic path to legitimacy, this one brings receipts and context.

If this perspective resonates, follow the show, share it with a friend who tracks geopolitics and energy, and leave a review with your take: leverage well used or line crossed? We’re reading every word.

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