Where Will Markets Go in April?

(4/4/22) April tends to be a strong month, statistically; will that trend prevail this year? Only a few weeks ago did markets sell-off into extreme over-sold territory on Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Since then, markets have rallied, and now needs to consolidate to hold important critical support at moving averages that are just below current market levels. If markets break through these levels, there will be a retest of market lows. By May, all bets are off, as the Fed's next meeting occurs, with an expected 50-basis point rate hike, as well as release of the schedule for Fed balance sheet tapering. Reduced liquidity heading into the summer will result in slower economic growth and slower earnings pacing. That will weigh on markets in terms of justification of current valuations. A retest of market highs would be within the realm of possibility amidst a reflexive rally...sucking in more investors at exactly the wrong time.

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